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Kalisz vs Ostrow Wielkopolski: match prediction on 23 September 2026

Superliga Arena Kalisz Kalisz Hit Match page
Kalisz Ostrow Wielkopolski

Prediction for

Win: Ostrow Wielkopolski

52%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

48% 1
52% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 21 Sep, 19:23

Ostrów-Wielkopolski extend Kalisz dominance

Ostrów-Wielkopolski secured a 28-21 victory over Kalisz in the Superliga on Wednesday evening. Kalisz had appeared stronger in their recent European Cup fixtures, winning both matches against Brno, but this domestic contest proved different. Ostrów-Wielkopolski now moves into the upper half of the table alongside Kalisz, who remain in 11th position.

The match followed a pattern seen in the previous encounter in April, where Ostrów-Wielkopolski also won by a seven-goal margin. Ostrów-Wielkopolski holds five victories from six meetings, while Kalisz has won just once.

Kalisz enters this phase of the season with a mixed record in recent form. After two draws in the Superliga, they have recorded two wins and three losses in their last five games across all competitions. Their defensive record has been vulnerable, having conceded 154 goals in those five matches. Ostrów-Wielkopolski faces a steeper climb, sitting ninth after two draws and recording only one victory in their last five Superliga outings. They have conceded 167 goals in that same period, suggesting defensive frailties on both sides.

This result adds to the narrative that Ostrów-Wielkopolski has had the upper hand in recent years. Kalisz’s recent success in European competition, particularly the 28-23 win over Brno, offered a brief respite from their domestic struggles. However, the Superliga table reflects their current standings, with Ostrów-Wielkopolski in ninth and Kalisz in eleventh. The loss leaves Kalisz looking for their first league victory, while Ostrów-Wielkopolski continues to build momentum from their draws.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 21 Sep, 19:23
  • Калиш — 11. place, 0 points after 2 games (0 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses)
  • Остров-Велькопольский — 9. place, 0 points after 2 games (0 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses)
  • Калиш, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
  • Остров-Велькопольский, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
  • Head-to-head: 8 games, Калиш — 3, Остров-Велькопольский — 5

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Kalisz LLWWL 2 wins · 3 losses
Ostrow Wielkopolski LWLLW 2 wins · 3 losses

Head to head 9

4Kalisz 0Draw 5Ostrow Wielkopolski
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+