Kazakhstan Women vs Japan Women: match preview on 25 September 2026

Japan Women to win

The visitors have won every meeting in this fixture. In the last four encounters Japan beat Kazakhstan by margins of 7, 18, 22 and 17 goals. The most recent was 30:23 at the Asian Championship in December 2024, but the pattern stretches back to a 50:28 Olympic victory in August 2023. Japan does not lose to Kazakhstan.

Form confirms the gap. Japan are 5 from 5 in their last five matches, scoring 182 goals and conceding 92. Their Asian Games campaign shows 39:16 against Hong Kong, 43:12 over Uzbekistan, 40:14 past Vietnam and 33:27 versus China. Kazakhstan have won 3 and lost 2 in the same period, with a goal difference of 129:147. They beat Hong Kong 34:27 and Vietnam 29:25, but lost 18:42 to South Korea and 24:34 to China.

The table tells the same story. Japan sit top with 8 points from 4 matches, a perfect 4 wins from 4. Kazakhstan are fourth with 4 points from 4 matches, 2 wins and 2 draws. The visitors are undefeated in the tournament; the hosts have dropped points twice.

Japan average 36.4 goals a game in their last five while Kazakhstan concede 29.4. The visitors have scored more goals than Kazakhstan in every previous meeting.

Kazakhstan could close the gap if they produce something outside their recent pattern. They lost 18:42 away to South Korea and 24:34 at home to China, but they also won 34:27 and 29:25 on the road. If they replicate those high-scoring performances and Japan's attack goes quiet, a closer game becomes possible. A draw would suit Kazakhstan, and given how they have run matches in their wins, that is the main threat.