Cup
Spišská Nová Ves
Podbrezová
Prediction for Spišská Nová Ves — Podbrezová
96%
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Kolstad vs Runar: match prediction on 2 September 2026
Kolstad
Runar
Prediction for
Win: Kolstad
63%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
63%
1
37%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 1 Sep, 12:12- Кольстад, last 5 games: 5 wins, 0 losses
- Руннар, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
- Head-to-head: 13 games, Кольстад — 10, Руннар — 3
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Kolstad
WWWWL
4 wins · 1 loss
Runar
WLWWW
4 wins · 1 loss
Head to head 13
10Kolstad
0Draw
3Runar
- 8 AprRunar — Kolstad31:35
- 28 Dec 2025Kolstad — Runar33:34
- 7 Dec 2025Kolstad — Runar37:31
- 11 Dec 2024Kolstad — Runar37:31
- 1 Sep 2024Runar — Kolstad34:37
Bookmaker market
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 1 Sep, 12:12Kolstad win. The hosts have won every match in their last five outings, they have dominated this fixture throughout the years, and the model expects them to outscore Runar by nearly five goals.
Their last five matches produced five victories across competitions: 33-23 away at Bergsoy, 54-32 against Klaebu in the NM Cup, and 38-32 over Bergen. They have scored 198 goals and conceded 141, averaging 39.6 goals per game. That is a run of consistency that few sides in the league can match.
Runar bring slightly less clean form. Four wins from five matches, but the defeat to Elverum in a friendly on 09.08.2026 — 30-34 — shows they can be beaten when the pressure is on. Their other results: 37-24 away at Haslum HK in the cup, 41-22 against Bodø, 30-29 over Folló, and 30-24 at home to Bergen. They have scored 168 goals and conceded 133, averaging 33.6 per game. They are strong, but not quite as dominant as the hosts.
Across 13 meetings, Kolstad have won 10 times while Runar have claimed just three. The most recent encounter on 08.04.2026 ended 35-31 to Kolstad. This is not a rivalry that favours the visitors.
The model expects Kolstad to score 33.9 goals and Runar 28.3. That is a 5.6-goal margin, consistent with the historical pattern. The probability of a draw is listed at 0%. Both teams to score is also 0% — a figure that sounds wrong until you remember these are handball scores, not football. Three or more goals is 0% for the same reason. The model is predicting a decisive Kolstad victory, not a tight contest.
Runar could narrow the margin if they find a way to slow the game down. Kolstad have scored heavily in every match, but if the visitors can disrupt their rhythm and force mistakes, the margin narrows. The model does not account for tactical adjustments mid-match, and it has no data on squad changes or injuries. If Runar's defence performs above its recent average, the 5.6-goal expectation becomes unrealistic. A draw would be the first sign the model has misread this fixture.