Nantes vs Wisła Płock: match prediction on 9 September 2026

Nantes are favourites to win this Champions League handball match against Wisła Płock. The French side have won all five of their last matches, scoring 164 goals while conceding 136, and they beat their Polish opponents 24:23 in a friendly on 22 August. The model projects Nantes to score 33.3 goals against 25.4 for Wisła Płock, and that gap is wide enough to expect a home victory.

Nantes arrived in this fixture with momentum. Their last five results were five wins across competitions including the Starligue and friendlies. The most recent outing saw them defeat Tremblay 38:28 away on 5 September. Before that came victories over Caen 34:22 at home, Montpellier 33:29 away, and Szeged 35:34 away. They have not dropped a point.

Wisła Płock's form tells a different story. In their last five matches they recorded one win, one draw and three defeats, accumulating just four points. Their most recent outing ended in a 19:46 home loss to MMTS Kwidzyn on 4 September. The side also drew 24:24 away at Gummersbach and lost 27:36 away at Kielce in the Superliga. Their defensive record of 156 goals conceded in five games is concerning.

The head-to-head record is even. Five meetings have produced two wins for each side and one draw. Nantes won the friendly on 22 August 24:23 and the Champions League encounter on 2 April 2025 29:24. The Polish side have shown they can compete, but Nantes held the edge in the most recent encounter.

This prediction does not hold if Wisła Płock match their friendly performance against Holstebro TTH, where they won 34:26 at home on 8 August. That result demonstrated their capacity for high-scoring games when conditions suit them. A draw would also undermine the forecast, though the model assigns 0% probability to that outcome.

Outcome: Nantes win