Champions League
Prediction for Montpellier — Skanderborg AGF
54%
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Ferencváros Women
Prediction for
Win: Ferencváros Women
85%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 6
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 7 Sep, 16:03Ferencváros Women are the clear favourites here. They have won every one of the six meetings going back to 2022 and their current form is ahead of NEKA Women's. The model puts Ferencváros on 37.9 projected goals against NEKA's 21.1.
Ferencváros have taken 12 points from five matches, losing only once to DVSC Schaeffler Women in a friendly. They beat Budućnost 29:20 in the Champions League on 06.09 and followed that with a 33:23 win over Budaörs in the league. NEKA Women, meanwhile, have not won any of their last five outings, including 24:37 away to Györ and 28:39 against Mosonmagyarovar.
NEKA's defensive record over that run is stark. They conceded 187 goals while scoring 122, an average of 37.4 against per match. Ferencváros conceded 124 in five games, averaging 24.8. That difference in defensive solidity is what separates the two sides in practice.
Ferencváros have won all six previous encounters, with margins ranging from 8 goals to 20. The latest meeting on 24.05.2026 ended 22:35 in Budapest. Before that, Ferencváros won 34:26 at home in January 2026. The pattern has not broken in four years.
FERENCVÁROS WIN
This prediction holds as long as Ferencváros maintain their current intensity and NEKA do not find a way to disrupt the tempo. If Ferencváros drop their guard early or if NEKA manage to score first and sit deep, the margin could narrow. A draw suits neither side given the data, but a surprise result becomes possible only if Ferencváros fail to impose themselves from the opening minutes.
Both teams have played one league match so far. Ferencváros sit 4th with 2 points from a win. NEKA are 13th with 0 points after a draw. Ferencváros have shown they can compete in Europe, while NEKA are still searching for consistency.
The model's projected goals figures reflect this hierarchy. Ferencváros at 37.9 projected goals suggests they will score regularly, while NEKA's 21.1 indicates a team that struggles to find the net against stronger opposition.
A draw would require Ferencváros to underperform significantly, something they have not done in their last five matches. Neither scenario is supported by the evidence available.
If Ferencváros fail to win, it would be because they were complacent, not because NEKA outplayed them.