Pontault-Combault Handball vs Dijon: match prediction on 4 September 2026

Pontault-Combault Handball are the clear favourites against Dijon, with their recent form showing three wins in five matches compared to the visitors' winless run of 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 losses. The home side have scored 157 goals while conceding 147 in that period, a positive differential that contrasts sharply with Dijon's 145 scored and 173 conceded.

Dijon's last five results paint a concerning picture. They lost 26:33 to Istres in the French Cup on 30 August, then suffered defeats in the Starligue against Provence Aix (32:38), Selestat (27:32) and Nantes (32:42), with only a 28:28 draw away at Istres providing any respite. The visitors have not found the net in every match, but their defensive record has been porous.

The most recent encounter on 28 March 2025 ended 26:26, while the 28 September 2024 meeting also finished level at 32:32. These draws suggest the sides can be evenly matched, but form has diverged significantly since then.

The model expects Pontault-Combault to score 7.3 goals, with a 0% probability for a draw or both teams scoring. These figures appear anomalous—the 81.7 figure for Dijon contradicts their recent scoring output of 29 goals per match on average—but the underlying direction points to Pontault-Combault dominance.

The home side's recent losses to Caen (twice) show they are not invincible, and a single key player missing could shift the balance considerably.