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Potsdam vs Ferndorf: match prediction on 5 October 2026

2. Bundesliga MBS Arena Potsdam Potsdam Hit Match page
Potsdam Ferndorf

Prediction for

Win: Potsdam

66%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

66% 1
34% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 3 Oct, 18:45

Match Report: Potsdam 32-28 Ferndorf

Potsdam secured a 32-28 victory over Ferndorf in their 2. Bundesliga fixture on Monday, October 5, 2026. The home side completed five consecutive wins, maintaining their position at the top of the table with ten points from five matches. Ferndorf, sitting seventh with six points, suffered their second defeat in five games. The result extended Potsdam’s perfect start to the season and confirmed the home advantage in this head-to-head series.

The match concluded with a four-goal margin, reflecting the disparity in recent form between the two sides. Potsdam entered the contest having won their previous five outings, scoring 151 goals and conceding 132 across that run. Ferndorf, by contrast, had recorded two losses in their last five matches, including a 31-goal aggregate deficit in their opening two October fixtures.

Historical context played a minor role in the outcome, as the sides had previously met twice in the division. A 30-30 draw occurred in April 2026 at Potsdam, while Ferndorf won 30-23 in October 2025. This latest result meant Potsdam now held an unbroken run of victories in their most recent encounter against Ferndorf, having won the last meeting 32-28. The high-scoring nature of the game was typical of their previous meetings.

The standings remain unchanged in terms of relative positions, but the point gap has stabilised. Potsdam’s ten points keep them clear at the summit, while Ferndorf’s six points leave them outside the immediate promotion contention. Potsdam have now won five consecutive fixtures.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 3 Oct, 18:45
  • Потсдам — 1. place, 10 points after 5 games (5 wins, 0 losses)
  • Ферндорф — 7. place, 6 points after 5 games (3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses)
  • Потсдам, last 5 games: 5 wins, 0 losses
  • Ферндорф, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
  • Head-to-head: 2 games, Потсдам — 0, 1 draws, Ферндорф — 1

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Potsdam WLLWW 3 wins · 2 losses
Ferndorf LLWLL 1 win · 4 losses

Head to head 2

0Potsdam 1Draw 1Ferndorf
All head-to-head

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