Andebol 1
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Ribe-Esbjerg
Prediction for
Win: Ribe-Esbjerg
86%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 8
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 31 Aug, 18:02Ribe-Esbjerg to win. The model puts them 18.8 goals ahead of Kolding in expected scoring—41.1 to 22.3—and the head-to-head at this venue tells the same story.
The home record
Ribe-Esbjerg have won two of three home meetings against Kolding, losing one. The most recent was a 37-22 victory in December 2024, and before that a 34-28 win in September 2023. Kolding's only home success came 29-24 in December 2023. The pattern at Ribe-Esbjerg's arena is clear: they control the scoreboard.
Table position
After two matchdays Ribe-Esbjerg sit second with 4 points from two wins. Kolding are tenth on 2 points from one win and one draw. The gap is small in absolute terms, but the standings reflect a side that has started the season with momentum and a side still finding its rhythm.
Recent form
Both teams have won four of five in all competitions. Ribe-Esbjerg's only loss came 25-39 away to HOJ in April. Kolding's defeat was 31-34 away to Mors in August. The goal totals are similar—161 for and 155 against for Ribe-Esbjerg, 160 for and 149 against for Kolding—but the model sees a different picture for this match.
What the model says
The expected goals figures Give Ribe-Esbjerg 41.1 and Kolding 22.3. The draw probability is 0%, both teams to score 0%, and 3 or more goals 0%. Those numbers point to a one-sided affair where Ribe-Esbjerg's attack outpaces Kolding's ability to respond.
When the conclusion fails
A draw suits Kolding if they close the game out and ride their luck. Handball has its own rules—early momentum can shift quickly, and a side that comes out flat may not recover. If Kolding keep it tight and rely on individual moments rather than sustained pressure, the model's edge disappears.
65%