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Saintes vs Sarrebourg: match prediction on 9 October 2026

Proligue Gymnase du Grand Coudret Saintes Miss Match page
Saintes Sarrebourg

Prediction for

Win: Saintes

60%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

60% 1
40% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 7 Oct, 19:45

Sarrebourg edge past Saintes in a tight league encounter

Sarrebourg secured a narrow victory against Saintes with a final score of 30 to 29 in their Proligue encounter on 9 October 2026. The result, decided by a single goal, meant Sarrebourg moved off the bottom of the table while Saintes suffered a setback at home. Both sides entered the match with identical records in the database, each holding four points from five matches consisting of two wins and three draws.

The result overturned the previous league meeting between the two teams, where Sarrebourg had beaten Saintes 26 to 25 at home in November 2025. In this return fixture, Sarrebourg maintained their advantage in the head-to-head record, marking their second consecutive win over the French side. Saintes, playing in front of their own supporters, were unable to replicate the performance that saw them reach the halfway point of the season unbeaten in the standings.

Bookmakers had favored the home side, estimating 26.8 goals for Saintes against 24.4 for Sarrebourg. Despite the prediction of a decisive result, the margin was minimal, and the outcome differed from expectations, which had suggested a Saintes victory with a 60 per cent confidence level.

The defeat leaves Saintes in eighth place, while Sarrebourg remain in tenth. The match rounds off a run for both teams where Saintes have suffered four defeats in their last five outings, including this one, whereas Sarrebourg have won three of their last five games.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 7 Oct, 19:45
  • Сент — 8. place, 4 points after 5 games (2 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses)
  • Саррбур — 10. place, 4 points after 5 games (2 wins, 3 draws, 0 losses)
  • Сент, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
  • Саррбур, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
  • Head-to-head: 1 games, Сент — 0, Саррбур — 1

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Saintes LLWLL 1 win · 4 losses
Sarrebourg WLLWW 3 wins · 2 losses

Head to head 1

0Saintes 0Draw 1Sarrebourg
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

No bookmaker data

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+