Andebol 1
Porto
ABC Braga
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Selfoss vs Stjarnan: match prediction on 16 September 2026
Selfoss
Stjarnan
Prediction for
Win: Selfoss
51%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
51%
1
49%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 14 Sep, 20:53- Сельфосс — 10. place, 0 points after 2 games (0 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses)
- Стярнан — 11. place, 0 points after 2 games (0 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses)
- Сельфосс, last 5 games: 0 wins, 1 draws, 4 losses
- Стярнан, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Head-to-head: 6 games, Сельфосс — 2, Стярнан — 4
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Selfoss
LDLLD
2 draws · 3 losses
Stjarnan
WWLLD
2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses
Head to head 6
2Selfoss
0Draw
4Stjarnan
- 8 FebStjarnan — Selfoss26:27
- 9 Oct 2025Stjarnan — Selfoss33:36
- 22 Mar 2024Stjarnan — Selfoss24:19
- 27 Oct 2023Selfoss — Stjarnan26:30
- 31 Mar 2023Stjarnan — Selfoss33:26
Bookmaker market
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 14 Sep, 20:53Selfoss secured their first victory of the Olis Deildin season with a 27-26 win over Stjarnan on 16 September 2026. Both sides arrived at the fixture having drawn both of their opening two games, leaving them tied on zero points in the table. The result shifted Selfoss out of the bottom tier of the standings, while Stjarnan remained level with their hosts on points but behind on head-to-head history.
Selfoss drew 27-27 at home against Afturelding and lost 28-35 away to Haukar in their previous two Olis Deildin outings. In their last meeting on 8 February 2026, Selfoss had beaten Stjarnan 27-26 away. Selfoss repeated that narrow margin.
Stjarnan have dominated this fixture in recent years, winning four of the last six meetings against Selfoss. Stjarnan won 24-19, 33-26, and 22-35, alongside a 26-30 win for Stjarnan at home in October 2023. Selfoss had responded with 27-26 and 33-36 wins over Stjarnan in February 2026 and October 2025 respectively. The actual total of 53 goals fell short of the high-scoring projection.
Selfoss entered with a winless run of five matches, scoring 143 goals and conceding 164. Stjarnan entered with three wins, zero draws, and two losses from their last five, netting 161 goals while letting in 148. Pre-match odds favoured Selfoss at 51%. The victory moved Selfoss off the bottom of the ten-team table, where they had tied on points with Stjarnan after two rounds.