Andebol 1
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Prediction for
Win: Stal Gorzów
59%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 3
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 9 Sep, 18:00Gorzów’s edge comes from past results and the model’s projection, even though their recent form has been weaker. Stal Gorzów are expected to win this Central League encounter, with the model projecting 33.1 goals for the hosts against 29.4 for ZPRP Kielce.
Stal Gorzów have won two of their last five matches, taking six points from a possible fifteen. Their results show a pattern of narrow margins, highlighted by a 32:25 victory away at Grunwald Poznan on 9 May and a 27:28 defeat against Biała Podlaska at home on 1 May. They have scored 144 goals and conceded 137 across those fixtures, with no draws recorded.
ZPRP Kielce have been far more consistent, winning four of their last five and collecting twelve points. Their five-game run includes a 42:31 win at Anilana Lodz away on 29 April and a sole 33:35 defeat away at Krakow on 4 March. They have scored 178 goals and conceded 164.
The head-to-head record favours Stal Gorzów. In three meetings, the home side have won twice while ZPRP Kielce have won once. The most recent encounter was on 15 November 2025, when Stal Gorzów won 35:32 at home. Before that, Kielce won 28:24 at home on 27 April 2024, and Stal Gorzów won 33:32 at home on 16 December 2023.
The model expects Stal Gorzów to score 33.1 goals and ZPRP Kielce to score 29.4. It assigns a 0% probability to a draw and 0% to both teams scoring. The figures suggest a home victory, with the hosts outscoring the visitors by nearly four goals on average.