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Stella Sports Saint-Maur Women vs Besançon Women: match prediction on 11 September 2026

Ligue Butagaz Énergie Women Centre Sportif Pierre-Brossolette Saint-Maur-des-Fossés Hit Match page
Stella Sports Saint-Maur Women Besançon Women

Prediction for

Win: Besançon Women

57%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

43% 1
57% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 9 Sep, 19:40

The result moved Besançon to 9th place with 4 points, placing them one position above Stella Sports Saint-Maur Women, who remained in 10th place with the same points tally. Both sides had started the season with identical records of one win and one draw.

Historical dominance

In the six previous meetings, Besançon Women won five times while Stella Sports Saint-Maur Women secured a single victory in the final encounter on 2 September 2023. Besançon had won four of the last five fixtures against Stella Sports Saint-Maur, including a 32-28 victory earlier in 2026.

Recent form comparison

Besançon Women arrived with stronger momentum. Their last five matches produced three wins and two defeats, scoring 142 goals and conceding 137. Stella Sports Saint-Maur Women recorded two wins and three losses in the same period, scored 137, conceded 147. Stella Sports Saint-Maur had won their most recent game against HBC Toulon Women by 29-27, whereas Besançon had lost their previous fixture away to Brest Bretagne Women.

Statistical context

Pre-match models predicted a high-scoring affair, projecting 27.4 goals for Stella Sports Saint-Maur and 30.3 for Besançon. The final score was 28-28, with both teams scored. The prediction model also estimated a 0% probability for a draw or for both sides to find the net, a glaring model error.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 9 Sep, 19:40
  • Стелла Спорт Сен-Мор Женщины — 8. place, 4 points after 2 games (1 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses)
  • Безансон Женщины — 5. place, 4 points after 2 games (1 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses)
  • Стелла Спорт Сен-Мор Женщины, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
  • Безансон Женщины, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
  • Head-to-head: 6 games, Стелла Спорт Сен-Мор Женщины — 1, Безансон Женщины — 5

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Stella Sports Saint-Maur Women LWLLL 1 win · 4 losses
Besançon Women LWWWW 4 wins · 1 loss

Head to head 7

1Stella Sports Saint-Maur Women 0Draw 6Besançon Women
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

No bookmaker data

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+