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70%
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HC Sviesa vs Viljandi: match prediction on 10 October 2026
HC Sviesa
Viljandi
Prediction for
Win: HC Sviesa
71%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
71%
1
29%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 8 Oct, 16:05- ХК Свиеаса — 4. place, 2 points after 2 games (1 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses)
- Вильянди — 3. place, 4 points after 2 games (2 wins, 0 losses)
- ХК Свиеаса, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
- Вильянди, last 5 games: 5 wins, 0 losses
- Head-to-head: 2 games, ХК Свиеаса — 2, Вильянди — 0
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
HC Sviesa
WWWLL
3 wins · 2 losses
Viljandi
WWWWL
4 wins · 1 loss
Head to head 2
2HC Sviesa
0Draw
0Viljandi
All head-to-head
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
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Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 8 Oct, 16:05HC Sviesa defeat Viljandi in Baltic League
HC Sviesa defeated Viljandi in the Baltic League on 10 October 2026. The match concluded at the home venue of HC Sviesa in Lithuania. The result confirmed the dominance of HC Sviesa in recent head-to-head encounters, extending their winning streak against Wiliandi.
HC Sviesa began the season in fourth place with two points from two matches, having secured one victory and one draw. Viljandi entered the fixture in third place with four points from two games, undefeated with two wins. HC Sviesa had won both previous meetings.
The most recent prior meeting took place on 20 December 2025, when Viljandi hosted HC Sviesa in the Baltic League. HC Sviesa won that match 37-24. In the earlier encounter on 20 September 2025, HC Sviesa also defeated Wiliandi 35-22 at home.
HC Sviesa arrived at the match with a recent form of four wins and one loss from their last five games. They had scored 163 goals and conceded 126 during that period. Viljandi came into the contest with five consecutive wins, scoring 143 goals and conceding 128 in the same timeframe.
A predictive model had anticipated a high-scoring affair, expecting HC Sviesa to score 35 goals and Viljandi 23. The model assigned a 0% probability to a draw and a 0% probability to both teams scoring. The actual result aligned with the historical trend rather than the probabilistic forecast.
The victory allowed HC Sviesa to close the gap on Viljandi in the standings, moving the Lithuanian side closer to the top positions and overtaking Wiliandi in the head-to-head record.
HC Sviesa's performance demonstrated consistency with their recent form, maintaining a strong attacking output. Viljandi, despite their perfect record in the league, failed to secure a result against a side that had historically troubled them.