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Tiller vs HK Melhus: match prediction on 4 October 2026
Tiller
HK Melhus
Prediction for
Win: HK Melhus
53%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
47%
1
53%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 2 Oct, 15:45- Тиллер — 14. place, 0 points after 5 games (0 wins, 5 draws, 0 losses)
- Мельхус — 6. place, 6 points after 4 games (3 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses)
- Тиллер, last 5 games: 0 wins, 5 losses
- Мельхус, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Head-to-head: 4 games, Тиллер — 1, Мельхус — 3
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Tiller
LLLLL
5 losses
HK Melhus
WLWWW
4 wins · 1 loss
Head to head 4
1Tiller
0Draw
3HK Melhus
- 8 MarHK Melhus — Tiller21:26
- 9 Nov 2025Tiller — HK Melhus24:31
- 2 Mar 2025HK Melhus — Tiller33:29
- 2 Nov 2024Tiller — HK Melhus25:27
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Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 2 Oct, 15:45Match Result
HK Melhus defeated Tiller in the 1. Division on 4 October 2026. The victory provided the visitors with their first win of the season, while the hosts failed to secure a result in their fifth consecutive match. This outcome contrasted with the table positions prior to kick-off, where HK Melhus sat in sixth place with 6 points from 4 games, and Tiller occupied 14th place with 0 points from 5 matches.
Historical Context
The result altered the balance in the head-to-head record between the two sides. The most recent encounter, played in March 2026, saw Tiller win 26–21 away from home.
Form and Statistics
The disparity in recent performance was evident in the scoring figures. Tiller had lost all five of their previous matches, conceding a total of 194 goals while scoring 118, averaging 38.8 goals conceded per match. HK Melhus had recorded three wins and two defeats in their last five outings, averaging 30.2 goals scored and 28.2 conceded. A predictive model generated before the fixture estimated 28.7 goals for Tiller and 29.1 for Melhus, suggesting a high-scoring contest.
Table Implications
Following the match, HK HK Melhus extended their unbeaten run to five games, moving to 9 points from 5 matches and maintaining their sixth-place position. Tiller remained on 0 points from 5 matches, staying in 14th place. The result ensured Melhus kept pressure on the upper half of the table, while Tiller’s goal of securing a first win remained unfulfilled.