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Tunisia Women vs Italy Women: match preview on 1 September 2026

Mediterranean Games Women Pending Match page
Tunisia Women Italy Women

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 1 Sep, 08:47

Tunisia Women are the clear favourites against Italy Women on 1 September. The hosts have won every game this tournament, scored 173 goals in five matches, and beat Italy 25:22 in their only previous meeting. Tunisia victory.

Tunisia's record is unbroken. Five wins from five matches, 15 points at the top of the table, and a goal difference of 81 in their favour. Their most recent result was a 26:21 victory over Algeria at home on 30 August. Before that they travelled to Kosovo and won 38:10, then beat Greece 41:28 away, and dispatched North Macedonia 43:11 at home. Each result shows a side that dominates its opponents from the opening minutes.

Italy sit second with 12 points from four wins and one loss. Their defeat came against Tunisia on 22 August, 22:25. Since then they have won all four fixtures: 27:24 against Greece at home, 39:16 over North Macedonia at home, 38:21 away at Kosovo, and 27:17 against Algeria away. They have scored 153 goals and conceded 103.

The previous encounter between these sides ended 25:22 to Tunisia on 22 August. Tunisia's attack has been far more prolific, averaging 34.6 goals per game compared to Italy's 30.6. Their defence has also been tighter, conceding 18.4 per match versus Italy's 20.6.

Tunisia's advantage disappears if Italy control the tempo. They have not lost to anyone other than Tunisia this tournament, which suggests they can compete when they stay disciplined. If they limit their own mistakes and force Tunisia into uncharacteristic errors, the margin could shrink significantly.

Tunisia's position is secure. They have beaten every opponent they have faced, including the team that sits second in the table. Italy's only blemish came against Tunisia, and they have not yet found a formula to stop them. The hosts should win again, though the margin may be closer than the previous encounter.

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Tunisia Women WWWWL 4 wins · 1 loss
Italy Women WWWWW 5 wins

Head to head 1

1Tunisia Women 0Draw 0Italy Women
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+