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Valur vs Fram: match prediction on 11 September 2026

Olis Deildin Laugardalshöll Reykjavík Miss Match page
Valur Fram

Prediction for

Win: Valur

54%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

54% 1
46% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 9 Sep, 20:40

Unpredictable outcome for Valur and Fram

The Olísdeildin match between Valur and Fram on 11 September 2026 ended in a draw, a result that contradicted the pre-match statistical model. The model had projected a Valur victory with a zero per cent probability to a draw. Instead, the two sides, who sat fourth and fifth in the table with two points each after one match, shared the points. The final result defied the expectation of a decisive victory despite the high-scoring nature of the fixture.

The encounter featured two teams with recent form suggesting strong attacking capabilities. Valur, in fifth place, had secured three wins and two defeats in their last five outings. Fram, in fourth place, recorded four wins and one loss in the same period.

The rivalry between the two clubs has proved balanced in recent years. Over the last six recorded head-to-head meetings, Valur and Fram have each won three matches. The historical data indicates that neither side holds a dominant advantage, and the draw on 11 September maintained the narrow gap between the two contenders at the upper end of the standings.

The match took place at Laugardalsvöllur. The game concluded with a shared point total, marking a departure from the prediction model’s assessment of the likely outcome.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 9 Sep, 20:40
  • Валюр — 5. place, 2 points after 1 games (1 wins, 0 losses)
  • Фрам — 4. place, 2 points after 1 games (1 wins, 0 losses)
  • Валюр, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
  • Фрам, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
  • Head-to-head: 13 games, Валюр — 7, 1 draws, Фрам — 5

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Valur LWLWL 2 wins · 3 losses
Fram WLWWW 4 wins · 1 loss

Head to head 13

7Valur 1Draw 5Fram
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

No bookmaker data

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+