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Ystads IF HF vs Hallby: match prediction on 16 October 2026
Ystads IF HF
Hallby
Prediction for
Win: Ystads IF HF
70%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
70%
1
30%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 14 Oct, 18:05- Юстадс ИФ ХФ — 4. place, 4 points after 3 games (2 wins, 1 draws, 0 losses)
- Халльби — 14. place, 1 points after 4 games (0 wins, 3 draws, 1 losses)
- Юстадс ИФ ХФ, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Халльби, last 5 games: 1 wins, 1 draws, 3 losses
- Head-to-head: 13 games, Юстадс ИФ ХФ — 12, 1 draws, Халльби — 0
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Ystads IF HF
LWWLW
3 wins · 2 losses
Hallby
LLLDL
1 draw · 4 losses
Head to head 14
13Ystads IF HF
1Draw
0Hallby
- 7 FebYstads IF HF — Hallby24:24
- 13 Sep 2025Hallby — Ystads IF HF27:36
- 6 Sep 2025Ystads IF HF — Hallby33:29
- 30 Mar 2025Ystads IF HF — Hallby38:28
- 27 Mar 2025Hallby — Ystads IF HF27:32
Bookmaker market
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Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 14 Oct, 18:05Ystads IF HF to win, 75% confidence.
The head-to-head record leaves little room for doubt. Ystads have won 12 of the last 13 meetings between these sides, with a single draw as Hallby's best result. The most recent encounter ended 24:24 in February, but that was an anomaly in a pattern of dominance. Before that, Ystads won four consecutive matches, including a 40:30 victory at home in March 2025 and a 38:28 win in the league that same month. Hallby have never managed a victory in this fixture.
The table positions reinforce the gap. Ystads sit fourth with four points from three matches, having lost nothing so far. Hallby languish in 14th place with just one point from four games, their record of three draws and one defeat suggesting they struggle to convert draws into wins.
Recent form tells a similar story. Ystads have won three of their last five matches, including victories over HK Malmö and IFK Skövde at home. Their goal tally of 158 for and 149 against shows they can be vulnerable, but they also score freely. Hallby's recent run is less encouraging. They have won only once in five games, that victory coming against Redbergslids in the Swedish Cup. Their last four league matches have yielded just one point from three draws and a loss to LUGI HF.
The model expects Ystads to score 32.5 goals on average, with Hallby managing 26. That 6.5-goal differential aligns with the historical pattern. The draw probability sits at 0%, which reflects both the H2H record and the current league positions. Neither side has shown signs of closing the gap recently.
This conclusion stops holding if Hallby replicate their February performance. A 24:24 draw demonstrated they can compete when Ystads are not at their most clinical. If the home side starts slowly or concedes early, the momentum could shift. Hallby's ability to grind out draws suggests they will not collapse, but a win for Ystads remains the most likely outcome.
Ystads play at home where they have dominated this fixture. Their recent victories against HK Malmö and IFK Skövde show they can impose themselves on opponents. Hallby's away record is not provided in the data, but their overall struggles at 14th place suggest they will find this difficult.
The goal expectancy figures point toward a comfortable victory for the hosts. A 33:26 scoreline fits the model's expectations and the historical pattern of results. Ystads have scored 35, 36, and 30 goals in their last three home matches, while Hallby have conceded 28, 29, and 30 goals in their last three home fixtures.
There is no team news available to alter this assessment. No injuries or suspensions are recorded for either side.