ZPRP Kalisz Women vs Gniezno II Women: match prediction on 26 September 2026

Gniezno II Women are backed to win this match, taking 30.7 to 26.8 on the model's reading, and they have already proven they can dismantle Kalisz — winning both meetings in January 2024 by a combined 58 goals to 42. The visitors are the side with momentum in this fixture, and the numbers do not suggest that changes simply because the venue switches.

Two matches played, two victories for Gniezno II. The first, on 18 January 2024, ended 42:24 at Kalisz. The second, on 22 January 2024, finished 36:18 in Gniezno's favour. Those results establish a pattern the model carries forward: the visitors score freely against this opposition, and Kalisz struggle to contain them.

ZPRP Kalisz Women sit fifth with zero points after zero matches. Gniezno II Women occupy ninth, also on zero points but after one match played — a single draw. The table tells you little about quality, but it confirms Gniezno II have already tasted this season's action while Kalisz have not. That is a small advantage in familiarity, nothing more.

Kalisz have won one of their last five matches, losing four and conceding 165 goals while scoring 123. Gniezno II have won none of their last five, losing all five and conceding 175 goals with 145 scored. Both sides are in poor shape, but Gniezno II's defensive record is only marginally worse, and their offensive output is comparable. The difference lies in the head-to-head, not in general form.

The model expects Gniezno II to score 30.7 goals and Kalisz 26.8. That gap of nearly four goals is where the prediction lives. A draw is priced at 0%, both teams to score at 0%, and three or more goals at 0% — the model sees a narrow visitors' victory, not a thriller.

The prediction relies on the visitors maintaining their edge. If Kalisz perform significantly above their recent home record, the visitors' advantage evaporates. The model knows nothing of motivation or tactical adjustments, only past goals.