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AIK vs Västerås IK: match prediction on 16 October 2026

Hockey Allsvenskan Hovet Stockholm Hit Match page
AIK Västerås IK

Prediction for

Win: AIK

62%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

62% 1
15% X
23% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 15 Oct, 18:05

AIK are set to win this fixture, a conclusion supported by 62% confidence in the model. They lead the table after 10 matches with nine wins and one loss, while Västerås IK sits in 11th place with three wins and seven defeats. The hosts enter the contest on a perfect run of five victories in five games, scoring 25 goals against 14 conceded. Västerås ended their recent stretch with a 2:6 home loss to MODO Hockey on 14 October. The match starts at 17:00 UTC on 16 October.

History between these sides is evenly split over the long term, with AIK claiming nine wins and Västerås 11 across 20 meetings. However, the most recent encounter on 21 February saw Västerås dominate 5:1, a result that could still linger in memory. AIK responded with a 4:0 victory at home in December 2025, suggesting the pendulum swings depending on venue and momentum.

The model expects AIK to produce 3.2 goals while Västerås IK manages 2.2. This disparity supports a 90% likelihood of three or more goals in the match. Both teams to score sits at 86%, with the 3:2 scoreline rated at 6% probability. A 2:2 draw is also priced at 6%, while a 3:1 win for AIK comes in at 5%. These numbers indicate an open contest where defence is secondary to attack.

The prediction holds as long as AIK maintains their current efficiency in front of goal. AIK's edge evaporates if Västerås parks the bus.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 15 Oct, 18:05
  • АИК — 1. place, 0 points after 10 games (9 wins, 1 losses)
  • Вестерос ИК — 11. place, 0 points after 10 games (3 wins, 7 losses)
  • АИК, last 5 games: 5 wins, 0 losses
  • Вестерос ИК, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
  • Head-to-head: 20 games, АИК — 9, Вестерос ИК — 11

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

AIK WWWWW 5 wins
Västerås IK LWLLL 1 win · 4 losses

Head to head 31

14AIK 0Draw 17Västerås IK
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

No bookmaker data

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+