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AKM vs Tambov: match prediction on 19 September 2026

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AKM Tambov

Prediction for

Win: AKM

72%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

72% 1
13% X
15% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 17 Sep, 11:08

AKM are the clear favourites for this VHL encounter, backed by their dominant head-to-head record and superior recent form. AKM average 3.7 goals a game, Tambov 1.8, pointing to a home victory, though a Tambov upset remains possible if they capitalise on AKM's defensive vulnerabilities.

AKM sit sixth in the standings with nine points from five matches, while Tambov languish in eighteenth place with six points from four games. AKM have won three of their last five fixtures, including three straight away victories over Omskie Krylia, Kurhan and Rubin Tyumen before a 1:2 home defeat to Buran Voronezh on 17 September. Tambov have taken six points from five matches, winning at home against Bars and CSK VVS but losing three times, most recently 1:0 away to Ryazan.

AKM have won all six recorded encounters between these sides over recent years. The most recent was a 4:2 victory at home on 24 December 2025, following a 3:2 away win at Tambov on 22 November 2025. Tambov have not registered a victory in any of these meetings.

Both sides score in 8 of 10 games. Total goals hit 3+ nine times out of ten.

The hosts have conceded in four of their last five matches, including the home defeat to Buran Voronezh. If Tambov can exploit those vulnerabilities and hold the scoreline level, the visitors' counter-attacking threat becomes more viable. A quick goal from Tambov would shift the momentum significantly.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 17 Sep, 11:08
  • АКМ — 7. place, 0 points after 4 games (3 wins, 1 losses)
  • Тамбов — 16. place, 0 points after 3 games (2 wins, 1 losses)
  • АКМ, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
  • Тамбов, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
  • Head-to-head: 8 games, АКМ — 8, Тамбов — 0

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

AKM WWWLW 4 wins · 1 loss
Tambov WLWLL 2 wins · 3 losses

Head to head 11

9AKM 0Draw 2Tambov
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

No bookmaker data

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+