Almetyevsk vs Olympia: match prediction on 16 September 2026

Almetyevsk to win. The hosts have won all four of their VHL matches so far, while Olympia have managed just one victory from five outings.

Almetyevsk have won all three meetings over the past couple of seasons, including a 4-3 victory in February and a 5-1 thrashing in January. Olympia have not come out on top in any of those encounters. Almetyevsk sit third with twelve points from four games, while Olympia languish in 27th place with only three points. The hosts have scored eighteen goals and conceded eight in their last five matches; Olympia have netted eleven and let in fifteen.

The model expects Almetyevsk to score 3.6 goals and Olympia 1.9. The most likely scorelines are 3-1 and 3-2, each at 6 per cent, with 4-1 at 5 per cent. Both teams to score comes in at 83 per cent, and there is a 91 per cent chance of three or more goals in total.

Olympia's single win came against Zvezda Moscow, a side they hosted at home, and since then they have lost four straight matches, including a 1-0 defeat away at CSK VVS.

The visitors have conceded fifteen goals in five games, averaging three per match. Almetyevsk's attack has been far more potent, finding the net eighteen times in the same period. The model's expectation of 3.6 goals for the hosts reflects that pattern.

A draw would require Olympia to hold firm defensively while also creating enough chances to equalise. The 14 per cent probability for a draw suggests that scenario is unlikely. More probable is a home victory with both sides scoring, given the 83 per cent figure for that outcome.