Almetyevsk vs Zvezda Moscow: match prediction on 10 October 2026

Almetyevsk maintain top spot with victory over Zvezda Moscow

The hosts, who had recorded ten wins and three defeats in their previous thirteen games, improved their record with the result. Zvezda Moscow, sitting in twenty-sixth place after twelve matches with four wins and eight losses, fell to another defeat in their campaign.

Historical record favours the home side

Almetyevsk have a strong historical record against Zvezda Moscow. Over eight matches played in recent years, Almetyevsk claimed six victories while Zvezda Moscow won two. In their most recent encounter on 5 March 2026, Almetyevsk defeated Zvezda Moscow 4-3 away from home. Prior to that, Almetyevsk had won 7-1 and 5-4 at home in September 2025 and March 2025 respectively.

Current form shows contrasting trajectories

The contrast in current form was evident heading into the match. Almetyevsk entered the game on the back of three wins and two defeats in their last five outings, scoring ten goals and conceding ten. Zvezda Moscow, conversely, brought only one win from their previous five matches, having lost four times and scored nine goals while conceding fourteen. Zvezda Moscow’s last victory came in a 3-2 away win against CSK VVS on 8 October 2026, a result that offered little respite from their broader struggles.

Statistical expectations vs reality

Pre-match modelling suggested a high-scoring affair, predicting three and a half goals for Almetyevsk and two for Zvezda Moscow. The models also indicated an 85% probability that both teams would score and a 91% chance of three or more total goals being scored.