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Cherepovets vs Dynamo Moscow: match prediction on 14 September 2026

KHL Ice Palace Dmitrov Pending Match page
Cherepovets Dynamo Moscow

Prediction for

Win: Dynamo Moscow

44%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

38% 1
17% X
44% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 12 Sep, 17:13

Dynamo Moscow to edge a tight contest at Cherepovets. With shots on goal nearly level at 2.7 for Cherepovets and 2.8 for Dynamo Moscow, this looks set to be a high-scoring affair decided by fine margins. Dynamo win probability: 65%, provided the visitors maintain the momentum they have built over the last month.

Standings vary by source, but records are identical. Both sides sit on identical records after three matches: one win, two defeats, zero points. Cherepovets occupies third or sixth place depending on which database entry you trust, while Dynamo Moscow appears fifth or eighth. Standings differ across sites; both sit on three points from three games.

Recent form separates them. Cherepovets have managed just one victory from five matches, scoring six goals and conceding twelve. Their last outing ended 1:2 away at Lokomotiv Yaroslavl on 10 September, and they have not kept a shutout since their 1:0 home win over Lada on 7 September. Dynamo Moscow, meanwhile, have won three of five, netting fifteen goals while conceding eleven. Their most recent result was a 2:1 home victory against Vladivostok on 9 September.

Dynamo have won four of the last six meetings, including victories at both venues this season.

Projections favour goals. Both sides find the net sits at 87%, while matches with three or more goals are priced at 91%. The most likely scorelines are 2:2 at 6%, 2:3 at 6%, and 3:2 at 5%. Dynamo Moscow's edge comes from their attacking output—fifteen goals in five matches versus Cherepovets' six—combined with their historical superiority in this fixture.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 12 Sep, 17:13
  • Череповец — 3. place, 0 points after 3 games (1 wins, 2 losses)
  • Динамо Москва — 5. place, 0 points after 3 games (1 wins, 2 losses)
  • Череповец, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
  • Динамо Москва, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
  • Head-to-head: 16 games, Череповец — 2, Динамо Москва — 14

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Cherepovets LLLWL 1 win · 4 losses
Dynamo Moscow WWLLW 3 wins · 2 losses

Head to head 26

6Cherepovets 0Draw 20Dynamo Moscow
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+