Andebol 1
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Cherepovets
Dynamo Moscow
Prediction for
Win: Dynamo Moscow
44%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 26
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 12 Sep, 17:13Dynamo Moscow to edge a tight contest at Cherepovets. With shots on goal nearly level at 2.7 for Cherepovets and 2.8 for Dynamo Moscow, this looks set to be a high-scoring affair decided by fine margins. Dynamo win probability: 65%, provided the visitors maintain the momentum they have built over the last month.
Standings vary by source, but records are identical. Both sides sit on identical records after three matches: one win, two defeats, zero points. Cherepovets occupies third or sixth place depending on which database entry you trust, while Dynamo Moscow appears fifth or eighth. Standings differ across sites; both sit on three points from three games.
Recent form separates them. Cherepovets have managed just one victory from five matches, scoring six goals and conceding twelve. Their last outing ended 1:2 away at Lokomotiv Yaroslavl on 10 September, and they have not kept a shutout since their 1:0 home win over Lada on 7 September. Dynamo Moscow, meanwhile, have won three of five, netting fifteen goals while conceding eleven. Their most recent result was a 2:1 home victory against Vladivostok on 9 September.
Dynamo have won four of the last six meetings, including victories at both venues this season.
Projections favour goals. Both sides find the net sits at 87%, while matches with three or more goals are priced at 91%. The most likely scorelines are 2:2 at 6%, 2:3 at 6%, and 3:2 at 5%. Dynamo Moscow's edge comes from their attacking output—fifteen goals in five matches versus Cherepovets' six—combined with their historical superiority in this fixture.