Csikszereda vs Újpest TE: match prediction on 24 September 2026

Újpest TE to win. The visitors have won both Erste Liga matches so far and beat Csikszereda 11:4 just four days ago, while the hosts have lost their two games. The model puts Újpest TE's expected goals at 4.3 against Csikszereda's 2.8, and the three most likely scorelines all feature a Újpest victory. Confidence 70%.

Újpest TE sit top of the table after two matches with two wins and no losses. Csikszereda are in tenth place with zero points from two defeats. The gap in the standings is not yet large in absolute terms — both sides have played the same number of games — but the direction of travel is clear. Újpest have taken nine points from their recent five matches, scoring 24 goals, while Csikszereda have managed only three points from one win in five, with 15 goals for and 26 against.

The most recent meeting between these sides ended 11:4 to Újpest TE at their own rink on 20 September. Before that, Újpest won 4:3 at home in December and 3:4 in November, while Csikszereda took two home victories earlier in 2026 and 2025. The overall head-to-head record over the last 14 matches is even at seven wins each, but the most recent encounter suggests a shift in momentum that the current standings reflect.

The model's expected goals figures point towards a high-scoring affair. Both teams to score sits at 92%, and three or more goals in the match at 97%. The three most probable scorelines are 2:4, 2:3, and 3:4, all favouring Újpest TE. The model does not account for injuries or tactical changes, but the recent form data — particularly the 11:4 result — pushes the estimate towards a comfortable visitors' victory.

This conclusion stops holding if Csikszereda can contain Újpest TE's attack in the opening period. The hosts have historically been stronger at home, winning two of their four meetings with Újpest since January 2025. If they can keep the score tight early and force the visitors to chase the game, a draw becomes a realistic threat — and given how Újpest have run matches recently, that is the main danger to the prediction.