CSK VVS vs Khimik: match prediction on 6 October 2026

Khimik to win. The visitors sit fourth in the VHL with seven victories from eleven matches, while CSK VVS languish at twenty-third after twelve games. Khimik are expected to score 3.0 goals against CSK VVS's 2.1, and the head-to-head record shows neither side has dominated the other over the past six meetings.

Khimik have collected points from seven wins and four losses, while CSK VVS have managed only four wins from twelve attempts. Both sides have zero draws in the database. Khimik have played one fewer game but their win rate of 64% compares with CSK VVS's 33%.

Recent form favours the visitors too. Khimik have won three of their last five matches, including back-to-back victories against SKA-VMF and Dinamo St. Petersburg at home. Their goal difference in that period stands at 12 for and 8 against. Their goals from those five matches show 13 scored and 19 conceded.

The head-to-head record is evenly balanced. Six matches have been played since October 2023, with three wins apiece. Khimik won 2:0 at home in March 2026, while CSK VVS claimed 3:1 at home in December 2024. The most recent meeting at Khimik's arena ended 2:0 to the visitors. CSK VVS have won two of the three fixtures at their own ground, so home advantage matters here.

The model expects goals. Both teams to score carries 83% probability, and three or more goals in the match sits at 88%. The three most likely scorelines are 2:2, 2:3, and 1:2, each at 6%. Khimik's higher expected goals output, combined with their ability to keep clean sheets — they beat SKA-VMF 1:0 on 2 October — points toward a narrow victory.

A draw suits CSK VVS, and given how they have performed at home in recent meetings, that is the main threat to this conclusion. If the visitors fail to score early and the home side takes control, the match could slip away.