Volleyligaen Women
Prediction for Farum Women — Aalborg Volley Women
70%
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CSK VVS
Prediction for
Slight edge: CSK VVS
44%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 2
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
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Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 11 Oct, 16:05CSK VVS will not lose to SKA-VMF St. Petersburg on 12 October. Confidence 62%.
The head-to-head record carries weight here that recent form does not. CSK VVS won both meetings between these sides this season. On 15 November 2025 they beat SKA-VMF 6:1 at home. Two matches, two victories, zero for the visitors. That pattern persists despite the table position that puts CSK VVS at the bottom.
Recent results tell a different story. SKA-VMF has won four of their last five matches, scoring 12 goals and conceding just five. They beat Dinamo St. Petersburg 3:0 at home on 5 October and took three points from Zvezda Moscow away on 30 September. CSK VVS has lost four straight. They conceded eight goals to Khimik on 6 October and five to Gornyak on 2 October. Their only win in that span was 5:4 away at Chelmet Chelyabinsk on 30 September.
The analysis does not follow the form narrative. It gives CSK VVS 2.3 expected goals to SKA-VMF's 2.1. The most likely scorelines are 2:2, 2:1, and 1:1, each at 7%. The draw probability sits at 21%, while both teams scoring is priced at 80%. Eighty-two percent of simulated matches produce three or more goals.
A draw suits the visitors. SKA-VMF's recent form shows they can grind results, and if they control the tempo they can take a point. But if SKA-VMF keeps the game tight and avoids the mistakes that cost them against Dinamo St. Petersburg, the draw becomes the realistic outcome.