MPBL
Prediction for Bulacan Kuyas — San Juan Knights
67%
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Davos
Eisbären Berlin
Prediction for
Win: Davos
84%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 4 Sep, 14:46Davos to win, 84% confidence.
Davos have opened the Champions Hockey League campaign on the right foot, winning their first match 3:2 against Storhamar at home on 4 September. That result sits alongside two friendlier victories — 4:1 over Lugano and 6:2 against Arosa — but the broader picture is mixed. They lost 1:4 to Kladno and 5:6 to Adler Mannheim in away friendlies, giving them three wins and two defeats across five matches. They have scored 19 goals and conceded 15, accumulating nine points from their recent run.
Eisbären Berlin's start has been far less convincing. They lost 2:6 away to Servette in their Champions Hockey League opener on 4 September. Before that, they suffered 0:7 and 0:2 defeats in the Dolomiten Cup against Augsburger Panther and Zug. Their only win in the last five games came in May, a 4:1 victory over Adler Mannheim in the DEL. They have managed just one win and four losses, scoring nine goals while conceding 20.
The table reflects the contrast. Davos sit in first place after one match played, one won, zero lost. Eisbären Berlin occupy 19th place with one match played, zero won, one lost. Davos top the standings with a win; Berlin sit 19th after a loss. Neither side has drawn in their last five.
The model expects Davos to score 4.5 goals and Eisbären Berlin 1.5. The probability of a draw is 8%. Both teams to score sits at 77%. Three or more goals is 94%. The three most likely scorelines are 4:1, 5:1 and 3:1, each at 6%. That distribution points toward a Davos victory with multiple goals.
If the visitors manage to absorb pressure and take the game to penalties or extra time, the prediction stops holding. Davos have not lost at home recently, but Eisbären Berlin's defensive frailties — conceding 20 goals in five games — make a low-scoring upset unlikely.
84%