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Dynamo Moscow vs Tractor Chelyabinsk: match prediction on 28 September 2026

KHL VTB Arena Moscow Pending Match page
Dynamo Moscow Tractor Chelyabinsk

Prediction for

Win: Dynamo Moscow

45%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

45% 1
18% X
37% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 27 Sep, 17:35

End of the Road for Traktor

Traktor Chelyabinsk’s season ended on 28 September 2026 after a run of four defeats in five games. The club finished fifth in the standings after seven matches, recording two wins and five losses. Dynamo Moscow, who stood third after ten games, secured five wins and five losses.

A Six-Game Run Ends

The Traktor Chelyabinsk side had not won a match since 20 September 2026, when they beat Avangard Omsk 2–1 at home. Before that win, they had lost at home to Spartak Moscow 1–3, to Lokomotiv Yaroslavl 1–4, and in an away defeat against Bars Kazan 2–1. On 25 September they lost 3–4 at home to SKA St. Petersburg. The streak left them with three points from their last five games, having scored eight goals and conceded fourteen.

Dynamo Moscow’s Mixed Form

Dynamo Moscow posted a mixed record in the same period. They beat Dinamo Minsk 4–3 in overtime on 24 September, following that with a 3–2 win away at Vladivostok on 17 September. However, they lost 1–3 to Salavat Ufa on 26 September, 1–4 to Barys Astana on 22 September, and 0–4 to Khabarovsk on 19 September. The nine goals scored against sixteen conceded over those five matches exposed defensive weaknesses noted before the season.

Coaching Pressure and Aftermath

The results intensified scrutiny on both head coaches. Former national team coach Plyushchev publicly called Dynamo Moscow’s play “cowardly” and criticised coach Tambiev for “mood swings” on the day of the final game. Traktor’s general manager Alexei Wolkow had already sharply criticised KHL video review protocols after a disallowed goal against Spartak in September.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 27 Sep, 17:35
  • Динамо Москва — 3. place, 0 points after 10 games (5 wins, 5 losses)
  • Трактор Челябинск — 11. place, 0 points after 7 games (2 wins, 5 losses)
  • Динамо Москва, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
  • Трактор Челябинск, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
  • Head-to-head: 17 games, Динамо Москва — 7, Трактор Челябинск — 10

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Dynamo Moscow WLLWL 2 wins · 3 losses
Tractor Chelyabinsk LLLWL 1 win · 4 losses

Head to head 19

8Dynamo Moscow 0Draw 11Tractor Chelyabinsk
All head-to-head

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