Eisbären Berlin vs Straubing Tigers: match prediction on 17 September 2026

Eisbären Berlin are favorites to win at home against Straubing Tigers on Wednesday, backed by their dominance in head-to-head meetings and superior recent form. The model expects Berlin to score 3.5 goals compared to 2.8 for the visitors, and this gap in attacking output shows across their last five matches where Berlin won three while Straubing managed only one victory.

Berlin's recent record reads 3 wins and 2 losses from five games, with 13 goals scored and 17 conceded. They opened their Champions Hockey League campaign with home victories over Herning Blue Fox 2:1 and Graz 99ers 4:1 before away defeats to Davos 2:8 and Servette 2:6. Straubing Tigers have been less stable, collecting just 3 points from their last five friendlies with 12 goals for and 18 against. Their solitary win came 5:2 away at Black Wings Linz on 28 August; the other four matches ended in losses including a 2:7 home defeat to České Budějovice.

The historical record strongly favours the home side. Over 31 meetings Berlin have won 19 times while Straubing have taken 12 victories. In the most recent six DEL encounters this season Berlin won four matches and Straubing two, including a 6:5 victory in Berlin on 4 April and a 2:1 win at home on 31 March. The pattern suggests Berlin control these fixtures, though Straubing have shown they can compete on their own ice.

Model projections point toward a high-scoring encounter with a 91% probability that both teams score and a 95% chance of three or more goals. The most likely scorelines are 3:2 and 3:3, each at 5%, followed by 4:2 at 4%. The draw probability sits at just 16%, which aligns with Berlin's tendency to push for results at home. Straubing's defensive vulnerabilities in friendlies—conceding seven goals in one match—make a clean sheet unlikely for either side.

This conclusion stops holding if Straubing manage to nullify Berlin's attack for long periods and exploit transitions on the counter. Berlin have shown susceptibility away from home, losing heavily in both Champions Hockey League away fixtures, and a cautious approach from Straubing could frustrate them. A draw suits the visitors given how they might run the clock down, and that remains the main threat to a Berlin win.

Confidence: 65%