Herlev vs Esbjerg: match prediction on 9 September 2026

Esbjerg go to Herlev as favourites after winning four of the last six meetings, including a 2:0 victory on 2 September. The visitors have already beaten the hosts this season and carry a slight edge in both form and history. Herlev have no case.

Herlev have lost all five of their previous matches, scoring 7 and conceding 18. Their run includes heavy defeats to Herning Blue Fox — 3:6, 3:4, 0:3, and 1:3 — and they were shut out 0:2 by Esbjerg away on opening day. The pattern is clear: Herlev struggle to contain opponents and rarely find the net.

Esbjerg's recent form is similarly uneven. They have one win and three losses in their last five, with 9 goals scored and 18 conceded. Their sole victory came against Herlev 2:0, while their biggest setback was a 1:7 hammering away at Herning Blue Fox. They sit 6th after two matches, level on points with Herlev but having played an extra game. The visitors have shown they can score — three goals against Rungsted Seier Capital on 22 March — but they have also been vulnerable at the back.

The head-to-head record favours Esbjerg. In 27 meetings, Esbjerg have won 14 and Herlev 13. The last six encounters tell a different story: Esbjerg won four, Herlev two. The most recent result was 2:0 to Esbjerg, but before that Herlev edged 4:3 at home in January. The model expects 2.7 goals for Esbjerg.

A Herlev victory would require them to break their current losing streak and exploit Esbjerg's defensive frailties. The visitors have conceded heavily in away games — 1:7 at Herning and 3:5 at Rungsted — and may leave space behind. If Herlev can capitalise on that and maintain their attacking output, the upset becomes plausible. But given Esbjerg's dominance in recent meetings and the model's expectation of goals from both sides, the pick remains away.