Jäähonka Espoo vs TPS Turku: match prediction on 30 September 2026

Sparring partners in Espoo

Jäähonka Espoo defeated TPS Turku 4-2 in a Liiga fixture on 30 September 2026. The hosts were in fine form, outscoring their opponents by two goals.

The victory followed Jäähonka’s recent home form, which included three wins and two losses in their previous five matches. They had scored 11 goals while conceding seven in that period, accumulating nine points. TPS Turku arrived with a less favourable away record, recording two wins and three defeats in their last five outings, with an equal number of goals for and against. The visitors had not won at this venue in the current sequence of meetings, having lost the previous encounter in December 2025.

Pre-match modelling predicted a high-scoring affair, estimating 2.8 goals for Jäähonka and 2.1 for TPS Turku. The probability of three or more goals was calculated at 86 per cent, and the prediction came true. The model also indicated an 83 per cent likelihood that both teams would score, and both teams scored. The most probable scoreline of 2-2 did not materialise, as the hosts’ offensive output exceeded expectations.

The result maintained the teams’ positions in the standings, with Jäähonka remaining seventh and TPS Turku eighth after eight matches. Both sides carried a record of four wins and four losses, though their point totals did not add up. This outcome added to the visitors’ difficulties in securing away points this season.