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Jihlava U20 vs Mountfield HK U20: match prediction on 11 September 2026

ELJ Horácký zimní stadion Jihlava Hit Match page
Jihlava U20 Mountfield HK U20

Prediction for

Win: Jihlava U20

47%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

47% 1
16% X
37% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 9 Sep, 17:20

Jihlava U20 are the model’s pick for 11 September. The model backs the hosts in a high-scoring game.

Jihlava U20 are unpredictable lately. In their last five matches they have won twice and lost three times, scoring 20 goals and conceding 21. The most telling result came on 5 September when they beat Slavia Praha U20 5:3 away from home, showing they can score freely. On 4 September they lost 3:4 to Plzeň U20, another game where both sides found the net. They leak goals, but they score more.

Mountfield HK U20 have been steadier. They have won three and lost two, netting 12 goals while letting in 14. The 3:2 victory over Třinec U20 on 5 September demonstrated resilience, while the 0:1 defeat to Vítkovice U20 the following day showed vulnerability. Their away record in friendlies has been decent, with wins against Mlada Boleslav U20 and Kometa Brno U20, but the heavy 1:6 loss to Jihlava U20 on 27 August remains a concern.

Jihlava U20 dominate the head-to-head. The most recent encounter was a 6:1 friendly win for Jihlava at home on 27 August, and before that a 3:2 victory on 11 August 2026. Even in competitive ELJ matches, Jihlava have held the upper hand, winning 5:3 in November 2025 and 3:2 in December 2024. Mountfield HK U20's two wins came at home, both narrowly, which suggests they can compete but struggle away against this opposition.

Both sides sit on zero points after two ELJ matches, with identical records of one win and one loss. Jihlava U20 occupy fifth place while Mountfield HK U20 are 13th. The table standings will shift significantly after this fixture, and Jihlava U20 are positioned to consolidate their position while Mountfield HK U20 face a tough test to climb away from the bottom half.

The model projects a high-scoring game, with Jihlava U20 expected to score 3.3 goals and Mountfield HK U20 3.0. The draw probability stands at just 16%, while both teams to score reaches 91% and the chance of three or more goals combined is 95%. The most likely scorelines are 3:2, 3:3, and 2:2, each at 5%.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 9 Sep, 17:20
  • Йиглава U20 — 5. place, 0 points after 2 games (1 wins, 1 losses)
  • Мунтфелд ХК U20 — 13. place, 0 points after 2 games (1 wins, 1 losses)
  • Йиглава U20, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
  • Мунтфелд ХК U20, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
  • Head-to-head: 10 games, Йиглава U20 — 8, Мунтфелд ХК U20 — 2

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Jihlava U20 LWLWW 3 wins · 2 losses
Mountfield HK U20 WLLWL 2 wins · 3 losses

Head to head 12

9Jihlava U20 0Draw 3Mountfield HK U20
All head-to-head

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+