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Khabarovsk vs Dynamo Moscow: match prediction on 19 September 2026

KHL Platinum Arena Krasnoyarsk Miss Match page
Khabarovsk Dynamo Moscow

Prediction for

Win: Dynamo Moscow

49%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

33% 1
18% X
49% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 17 Sep, 08:08

Dynamo Moscow wins. Khabarovsk have lost three of their last four games and travel to a side that has scored 13 goals in its last five outings. The model expects 2.8 goals for Dynamo and 2.3 for the hosts, with an 84% probability that both teams find the net.

Dynamo have won four of their last five games, including a comeback against Admiral where they came from 0-2 down in three minutes. Khabarovsk occupy fifth place after four matches with one win and three losses, and their last five outings produced two wins and three defeats.

Khabarovsk have lost every one of the last six. Dynamo Moscow won every one of the six meetings since September 2023. The most recent encounter on 24 November 2025 ended 4-2 to Dynamo in Moscow. Khabarovsk have not beaten their opponents in over two years, a run that extends back to before the current season began.

The model projects Dynamo Moscow to score 2.8 goals and Khabarovsk 2.3, with the most likely scorelines being 2-2, 2-3 and 1-2, each at 6% probability. The draw sits at 18%, while there is an 88% chance of three or more goals in the match. Both teams have failed to record a single draw this season, which pushes the expectation toward a decisive result.

Dynamo’s win hinges on not conceding early. The hosts have shown they can score, netting nine goals in five matches.

A draw would also undermine the conclusion. The 18% probability is not negligible, and Khabarovsk's ability to score away from home means they could earn a point if Dynamo struggle to convert their chances. The visitors have conceded 10 goals in five matches, and their back line is leaking.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 17 Sep, 08:08
  • Хабаровск — 5. place, 0 points after 4 games (1 wins, 3 losses)
  • Динамо Москва — 2. place, 0 points after 5 games (3 wins, 2 losses)
  • Хабаровск, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
  • Динамо Москва, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
  • Head-to-head: 9 games, Хабаровск — 1, Динамо Москва — 8

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Khabarovsk LLWWL 2 wins · 3 losses
Dynamo Moscow WWWWL 4 wins · 1 loss

Head to head 13

4Khabarovsk 0Draw 9Dynamo Moscow
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+