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Kometa Brno vs Litvínov: match prediction on 16 September 2026

Extraliga Winning Group Arena Brno Hit Match page
Kometa Brno Litvínov

Prediction for

Win: Kometa Brno

64%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

64% 1
16% X
21% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 14 Sep, 16:33

Kometa Brno win at 64% confidence.

Form and momentum

Kometa Brno have taken nine points from their last five matches, winning three and losing two. They scored 11 goals and conceded 14 across friendlies and the Dolomiten Cup. Their most recent outing ended 1:3 at home against Olomouc HC on 8 September. Litvínov collected six points from five games — two victories, three defeats — with 8 goals scored and 14 conceded. Their last match was a 2:1 away win at Mlada Boleslav on 8 September.

Head-to-head record

The two sides have met 22 times in recent years, with Litvínov edging the tally 12 to 10. The last six encounters have been high-scoring affairs. Kometa won 7:2 at home on 9 January 2026 and 4:2 at home on 10 September 2025. Litvínov responded with a 6:2 victory at home on 28 November 2025 and a 3:2 win at home on 19 January 2025.

League position

Both teams sit at zero points with zero matches played. The table lists Litvínov in fourth place and Kometa in twelfth, but these positions reflect previous seasons rather than current form. The season has not yet begun in the Extraliga.

Model expectations

The statistical model projects Kometa Brno to score 3.2 goals and Litvínov 1.9. The market prices a draw at 16%, BTTS at 82%, and over 2.5 goals at 89%. The three most likely scorelines are 3:1, 3:2, and 2:1, each at 6%. A specific bookmaker has selected Kometa Brno to win.

Tactical key

This prediction rests on Kometa maintaining their attacking edge at home. A result that suits Litvínov would be a narrow away victory or a draw — both outcomes would shift the balance away from the home side. If Litvínov manage to contain Kometa's attack and hit on the counter, the model's expectation of 3.2 goals for the hosts becomes unlikely.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 14 Sep, 16:33
  • Комета Брно, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
  • Литвинов, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
  • Head-to-head: 22 games, Комета Брно — 10, Литвинов — 12

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Kometa Brno WLLLW 2 wins · 3 losses
Litvínov LWWLW 3 wins · 2 losses

Head to head 30

14Kometa Brno 0Draw 16Litvínov
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

No bookmaker data

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+