Champions League
Montpellier
Skanderborg AGF
Prediction for Montpellier — Skanderborg AGF
54%
Read more
Krasnoyarsk vs HC Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk: match prediction on 17 September 2026
Krasnoyarsk
HC Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk
Prediction for
Win: HC Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk
61%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
21%
1
18%
X
61%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 15 Sep, 13:13- Красноярск — 26. place, 0 points after 3 games (1 wins, 2 losses)
- Югра Ханты-Мансийск — 4. place, 0 points after 5 games (4 wins, 1 losses)
- Красноярск, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
- Югра Ханты-Мансийск, last 5 games: 3 wins, 1 draws, 1 losses
- Head-to-head: 7 games, Красноярск — 4, Югра Ханты-Мансийск — 3
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Krasnoyarsk
LLLWL
1 win · 4 losses
HC Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk
WWWLL
3 wins · 2 losses
Head to head 11
4Krasnoyarsk
0Draw
7HC Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk
- 24 FebKrasnoyarsk — HC Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk2:1
- 10 Feb 2025Krasnoyarsk — HC Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk1:0
- 10 Oct 2024HC Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk — Krasnoyarsk2:1
- 29 Jan 2024HC Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk — Krasnoyarsk7:3
- 22 Sep 2023Krasnoyarsk — HC Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk2:1
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
More predictions
All match predictions
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 15 Sep, 13:13Service pick: victory for HC Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk (confidence 61%)
Krasnoyarsk are struggling to find consistency after three matches, collecting just one win and two defeats, while HC Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk have dominated their opening five fixtures with four victories and only a single loss. The gap in quality shows in the goal difference: Yugra have netted 10 times while conceding 5, compared to Krasnoyarsk's 4 goals for and 11 against across their shorter campaign.
Recent form tells the clearest story. Yugra's last five games produced three wins, one draw and one loss, with only the 0:2 defeat away to Metallurg Novokuznetsk breaking their rhythm. Krasnoyarsk's recent record is far less encouraging — one win from five matches, that 1:0 victory at home against Metallurg Novokuznetsk on 8 September the sole bright spot in a run of four defeats.
The head-to-head record offers a different picture entirely. Krasnoyarsk have won four of six meetings, but most were decided by narrow margins. Three of the six matches ended 2:1 in either direction, with only the 7:3 victory for Yugra in January 2024 providing a clear statement of intent. Those close results suggest Krasnoyarsk can compete, but Yugra's current trajectory makes a repeat of that pattern unlikely.
The model expects Yugra to score 2.6 goals while Krasnoyarsk manage 1.5, and the 73% probability that both teams find the net points to an open game. The most likely scoreline is 1:2 at 8%, followed by 1:3 at 7%. Three or more goals in the match are expected in 79% of simulated versions, indicating Yugra's attacking capability should be on display.
This conclusion stops holding if the match ends in a draw. Yugra's away record includes a 1:1 draw at HK Norilsk on 14 September, and they have shown they can grind out results when needed. If Krasnoyarsk defend deeply and Yugra fail to break through — something the 18% draw probability acknowledges — the away side's superiority may not translate into victory.
Final prediction: HC Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk to win