Krasnoyarsk vs Izhevsk: match prediction on 11 October 2026

Krasnoyarsk to win. The hosts have dominated this fixture historically, winning four of the last six meetings, and Izhevsk's recent form shows no sign of improvement despite picking up six points from five games. The model projects a narrow home win, with a 42% probability of a home win.

Krasnoyarsk sit dead last in the VHL table after twelve matches, with two victories and ten defeats yielding zero points. Their last five outings have brought nothing but losses — 0:2 at Dizel, 4:5 away at Tambov, 3:4 against Buran, 2:3 at Kristall Saratov, and 3:4 against Olympia at home. They have scored 12 goals and conceded 18 in that span, a pattern of narrow defeats that suggests they are competitive but unable to close out results.

Izhevsk occupy 29th place following eleven games, three wins and eight losses also producing zero points. Their recent run has been steadier: two victories in their last five matches, including 4:3 at AKM and 3:2 against Ryazan at home. They have netted 13 goals while letting in 15, showing more attacking intent than Krasnoyarsk but still struggling to maintain consistency on the road, losing both away fixtures in that period.

The head-to-head record stretches back to September 2023, with Krasnoyarsk winning four of six encounters. The most recent meeting in January 2026 saw Izhevsk fall 2:3 at home, while Krasnoyarsk secured a 3:0 victory there in November 2025.

The statistical model projects a high-scoring affair with 87% probability of three or more goals and 84% that both sides find the net. The most likely scoreline is 2:2 at 7%, followed by 3:2 and 2:1 each at 6%. The draw carries only a 20% chance.