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Prediction for Farum Women — Aalborg Volley Women
70%
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Krasnoyarsk vs Perm: match prediction on 15 October 2026
Krasnoyarsk
Perm
Prediction for
Slight edge: Perm
44%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
35%
1
21%
X
44%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 14 Oct, 13:05- Красноярск — 28. place, 0 points after 14 games (4 wins, 10 losses)
- Пермь — 10. place, 0 points after 12 games (8 wins, 4 losses)
- Красноярск, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
- Пермь, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Head-to-head: 21 games, Красноярск — 13, Пермь — 8
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Krasnoyarsk
LLWWL
2 wins · 3 losses
Perm
WWLLW
3 wins · 2 losses
Head to head 25
16Krasnoyarsk
0Draw
9Perm
- 23 JanPerm — Krasnoyarsk3:4
- 28 Oct 2025Krasnoyarsk — Perm3:2
- 12 Jan 2025Perm — Krasnoyarsk5:1
- 10 Nov 2024Krasnoyarsk — Perm0:4
- 4 Mar 2024Krasnoyarsk — Perm4:3
Bookmaker market
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 14 Oct, 13:05Perm win, 44%
We have picked Perm to take the points, and the confidence sits at 44%. The reasoning is straightforward: while Krasnoyarsk have managed just 4 victories from 14 outings and languish in 28th. Form does not lie — Perm collected 9 points from their last five games compared to Krasnoyarsk's 6, and the visitors have scored 10 goals while conceding only 6 in that span. The hosts have netted 10 but let in 11.
History between these sides does not favour the visitors. In 21 meetings Krasnoyarsk have won 13 times to Perm's 8. Perm's 5:1 victory in January 2025 was the most one-sided result, but Krasnoyarsk responded with a 4:3 win in January 2026.
The model expects a tight contest. Krasnoyarsk are projected to score 2.2 goals, Perm 2.3. The draw probability sits at 21%, while both teams to score comes in at 81% and three or more goals at 83%. The three most likely scorelines are 2:2 (7%), 1:2 (7%) and 1:1 (6%).
A draw suits Perm — and that is the main threat to the prediction. If the visitors choose to protect a narrow lead rather than chase a win, the match could end level. The model's 21% draw probability is not negligible, and a conservative approach would not be unreasonable for a side sitting higher in the table.