Volleyligaen Women
Prediction for Farum Women — Aalborg Volley Women
70%
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Krasnoyarsk
Toros Neftekamsk
Prediction for
Slight edge: Toros Neftekamsk
43%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Head to head 19
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
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Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 12 Oct, 13:05Toros Neftekamsk are projected to win. The visitors sit 15th with 6 victories from 12 matches, half their games won, while Krasnoyarsk languish at 30th after just 3 wins in 13 outings.
Krasnoyarsk's recent run tells the story. They have won only one of their last five matches, a 3:2 home victory against Izhevsk on 11 October, and lost the other four, conceding 16 goals while scoring just 12.
Toros Neftekamsk have been more inconsistent but showed mixed results with two wins in their last five outings. They beat Ryazan 3:0 at home on 1 October and took a 3:1 victory away at Bars on 23 September. Their away record is not spectacular, but their head-to-head record against Krasnoyarsk gives them confidence. They won 3:2 in January and 4:1 in January 2025 at their own rink.
The model expects a tight contest. Toros are projected to score 2.4 goals, Krasnoyarsk 2.3, with an 82% probability that both sides find the net. Three or more goals are expected in 84% of simulated outcomes. The most likely scoreline is 2:2 at 7%, followed by 1:2 and 2:1 at 6% each.
The prediction holds only if Toros maintain their recent edge in finishing. If Krasnoyarsk can replicate their 6:2 victory from November 2024, or match their 5:3 home win in February 2024, the prediction shifts.