Andebol 1
Porto
ABC Braga
Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Kristall Saratov vs Almetyevsk: match prediction on 11 September 2026
Kristall Saratov
Almetyevsk
Prediction for
Win: Almetyevsk
56%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
28%
1
16%
X
56%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 9 Sep, 15:40- Кристалл Саратов — 21. place, 0 points after 1 games (1 wins, 0 losses)
- Альметьевск — 7. place, 0 points after 2 games (2 wins, 0 losses)
- Кристалл Саратов, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Альметьевск, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Head-to-head: 6 games, Кристалл Саратов — 4, Альметьевск — 2
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Kristall Saratov
LWWWL
3 wins · 2 losses
Almetyevsk
WWWWW
5 wins
Head to head 6
4Kristall Saratov
0Draw
2Almetyevsk
- 3 FebAlmetyevsk — Kristall Saratov4:5
- 21 Oct 2025Kristall Saratov — Almetyevsk2:4
- 17 Mar 2025Kristall Saratov — Almetyevsk4:0
- 4 Sep 2024Almetyevsk — Kristall Saratov2:3
- 12 Feb 2024Kristall Saratov — Almetyevsk1:5
Bookmaker market
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 9 Sep, 15:40Almetyevsk to win. The model expects them to score 3.3 goals to Kristall Saratov's 2.4, and the most likely scoreline is 2:3 at 6%. Kristall Saratov have dominated this fixture historically with four wins in six meetings, but Almetyevsk's position in the table — third after three games — and the model's head-to-head assessment point toward the visitors taking all three points.
The visitors come into this match with a stronger recent record in the league. Almetyevsk have won all three of their VHL games so far, while Kristall Saratov have played two and won both. On form alone the visitors look the more reliable side, and the model's expectation of three-plus goals at 93% probability suggests an open contest where Almetyevsk's attacking output — 13 goals in five matches — should tell.
Kristall Saratov's home advantage is not to be dismissed. They have won four of the last six encounters between these sides, including a 4:0 victory at home in March 2025. Their recent home results show they can be tight defensively, conceding only eight goals in five matches. But the model gives them just 2.4 expected goals, which is below the threshold needed to match Almetyevsk's 3.3.
The visitors have shown they can score away from home. Their last three VHL matches all came on the road, and they won each one — 3:1 against Dizel, 4:3 against Tambov, and 2:1 against Buran Voronezh. They have scored in every away game this season and have not kept a clean sheet in their last five matches across all competitions, which fits with the 88% probability that both teams will find the net.
This conclusion stops holding if Kristall Saratov convert their home record into a result. They have won four of six meetings and their expected goals figure of 2.4 is not negligible — it means they most often score one or two goals. If they hit that mark and Almetyevsk's defence, which has conceded 14 goals in their last five matches, slips up,. A 2:2 result at 5% probability is the main alternative.