Volleyligaen Women
Farum Women
Aalborg Volley Women
Prediction for Farum Women — Aalborg Volley Women
70%
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Kurhan vs Kristall Saratov: match prediction on 15 October 2026
Kurhan
Kristall Saratov
Prediction for
Slight edge: Kurhan
43%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
43%
1
19%
X
38%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 14 Oct, 14:45- Курган — 26. place, 0 points after 12 games (3 wins, 9 losses)
- Кристалл Саратов — 13. place, 0 points after 12 games (7 wins, 5 losses)
- Курган, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
- Кристалл Саратов, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
- Head-to-head: 2 games, Курган — 0, Кристалл Саратов — 2
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Kurhan
LLLWL
1 win · 4 losses
Kristall Saratov
WLWLW
3 wins · 2 losses
Head to head 2
0Kurhan
0Draw
2Kristall Saratov
All head-to-head
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 14 Oct, 14:45Kristall Saratov to win. The visitors carry a psychological edge from two consecutive victories over Kurhan this season, and their league position reflects a side that has found more consistency than the hosts.
Form and momentum
Kurhan sit at the bottom of the table after 12 matches, with just three wins and nine defeats. Their recent run has been particularly difficult: one victory in five games, that win coming 4:3 against Dizel on 13 October. The other four home matches have all ended in defeat, with a combined scoreline of 8:15 against. They have lost four of their last five at home, conceding 15 goals while scoring only eight.
Kristall Saratov occupy 16th place after 12 matches, having won seven and lost five. Their last five matches show two victories and three defeats, with a goal record of 11:18. The most recent outing was a heavy 7:1 away loss to Omskie Krylia on 13 October, but before that they showed competitive spirit with a 5:4 home win over Dyn. Altay and a 3:2 victory against Krasnoyarsk.
Head-to-head record
The two sides have met twice this season, with Kristall claiming both victories. On 11 December 2025, Kurhan hosted Kristall Saratov and lost 1:4. The earlier meeting on 29 November 2025 saw Kristall win 2:1 at home. Across those two encounters, Kurhan scored two goals while Kristall scored six.
Model expectations
The statistical model projects Kurhan to score 2.6 goals and Kristall Saratov 2.5, a margin of just 0.1 goals. The draw probability sits at 19%, while both teams to score stands at 85%. Three or more goals are expected in 88% of simulated matches. The most likely scorelines are 2:2 at 6%, 3:2 at 6%, and 2:3 at 5%.
Conditions that change the outcome
This prediction stops holding if Kurhan's home advantage proves decisive. They have managed one victory in five home matches, but that 4:3 win over Dizel shows they can compete. If Kurhan find an early goal and play to protect it, Kristall's tendency to concede late could work against them. A tight 2:1 result for Kurhan or a draw would overturn the expectation of a Kristall victory.