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Jihlava U20
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Prediction for Jihlava U20 — Slavia Praha U20
47%
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Kurhan vs Rubin Tyumen: match prediction on 1 October 2026
Kurhan
Rubin Tyumen
Prediction for
Slight edge: Rubin Tyumen
49%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
30%
1
21%
X
49%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 30 Sep, 14:34- Курган — 27. place, 0 points after 8 games (2 wins, 6 losses)
- Рубін Тюмень — 20. place, 0 points after 8 games (4 wins, 4 losses)
- Курган, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
- Рубін Тюмень, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
- Head-to-head: 3 games, Курган — 1, Рубін Тюмень — 2
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Kurhan
WLLDL
1 win · 1 draw · 3 losses
Rubin Tyumen
LWLLL
1 win · 4 losses
Head to head 14
3Kurhan
0Draw
11Rubin Tyumen
- 29 JanKurhan — Rubin Tyumen2:4
- 19 Oct 2025Rubin Tyumen — Kurhan3:2
- 27 Aug 2025Kurhan — Rubin Tyumen3:2
- 1 Mar 2022Rubin Tyumen — Kurhan3:1
- 26 Feb 2022Kurhan — Rubin Tyumen2:1
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 30 Sep, 14:34Rubin Tyumen to win. and come into this fixture with three wins in their last five matches compared to Kurhan's two. The model puts their expected goals at 2.4 to 2, and the 21% draw probability leaves the narrow edge with the side that has won 4 of 8 league games..
Kurhan have not won at home in eight matches. Their last five outings produced two victories and three defeats, with six goals scored and twelve conceded. The most recent result was a 0:3 loss to HC Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk on 29 September, and before that a 3:2 away win against Dyn. Altay on 25 September. They sit 28th in the table after eight matches with two wins and six losses.
Rubin Tyumen sit 22nd with four wins and four losses from the same number of games. Their recent run includes a 4:3 home victory over HC Yugra Khanty-Mansiysk on 27 September and a 1:4 away defeat to Dyn. Altay on 23 September. They have scored thirteen goals and conceded fourteen across those five matches.
The head-to-head record in VHL competition shows a clear story. Rubin Tyumen won 4:2 at Kurhan on 29 January 2026, 3:2 at home on 19 October 2025, and 3:1 at home on 1 March 2022. Kurhan managed only one VHL victory, a 2:1 win on 26 February 2022. The other fixture on 25 February 2022 went to Rubin Tyumen 2:1. That gives the visitors four wins from five VHL meetings.
The model expects 2.4 goals for Rubin Tyumen and 2 for Kurhan. The probability of both teams scoring is 79%, and there is an 82% chance of three or more goals in the match. The three most likely scorelines are 1:2, 2:2, and 1:1, each at 7%.
A draw suits Rubin Tyumen given their ability to manage games, and that is the main threat to this prediction.