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Prediction for Porto — ABC Braga
72%
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Liberec Bílí Tygři
Graz 99ers
Prediction for
Win: Liberec Bílí Tygři
90%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Bookmaker market
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 11 Sep, 15:00Prediction: Liberec Bílí Tygři vs Graz 99ers
Liberec Bílí Tygři have taken 9 points from their last 5 matches with 3 wins and 2 losses, while Graz 99ers managed only 3 points from 1 win and 4 defeats. The hosts scored 12 goals and conceded 13 in that span, whereas the visitors netted 11 and let in 19. Graz's last game saw them lose 1:4 away to Eisbären Berlin on the same date, a result that followed two consecutive 2:4 home defeats in the Champions Hockey League.
Both sides sit winless in the Champions Hockey League after three matchdays. Liberec Bílí Tygři occupy 21st place with 1 win and 2 losses, while Graz 99ers trail in 23rd with 0 wins from 3 matches. The hosts carry a slight psychological edge from having secured their first victory in the competition against Herning Blue Fox, while the visitors have yet to register a point.
The statistical model projects Liberec Bílí Tygři to score 4.5 goals on average and Graz 99ers 1.1. The probability of a draw stands at just 6%, while both teams to score sits at 65% and matches with 3 or more goals reach 91%. The three most likely scorelines are 4:1 (7%), 4:0 (7%) and 5:1 (6%), all pointing toward a decisive home victory. These figures align with what the recent form suggests — Graz have conceded 3.8 goals per game in their last 5 matches.
Liberec have already tasted victory against Herning Blue Fox, while Graz must find a way to break their winless streak after losing to Eisbären Berlin, Bordeaux and Fribourg-Gottéron in their opening CHL fixtures.