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Molot Perm vs Snezhnye Barsy Astana: match prediction on 18 September 2026
Molot Perm
Snezhnye Barsy Astana
Prediction for
Win: Molot Perm
61%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
61%
1
15%
X
24%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 16 Sep, 15:13- Молот Пермь — 4. place, 0 points after 2 games (1 wins, 1 losses)
- Снежные Барсы Астана — 6. place, 0 points after 3 games (0 wins, 3 losses)
- Молот Пермь, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
- Снежные Барсы Астана, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
- Head-to-head: 12 games, Молот Пермь — 7, Снежные Барсы Астана — 5
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Molot Perm
LWWLL
2 wins · 3 losses
Snezhnye Barsy Astana
LLLLW
1 win · 4 losses
Head to head 13
8Molot Perm
0Draw
5Snezhnye Barsy Astana
- 17 SepMolot Perm — Snezhnye Barsy Astana4:1
- 18 FebMolot Perm — Snezhnye Barsy Astana1:3
- 16 FebMolot Perm — Snezhnye Barsy Astana3:5
- 29 JanSnezhnye Barsy Astana — Molot Perm2:3
- 28 JanSnezhnye Barsy Astana — Molot Perm2:4
Bookmaker market
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 16 Sep, 15:13Molot Perm to win. The hosts have dominated this fixture historically with seven victories from twelve meetings and they came away from yesterday's encounter 4:1. Snezhnye Barsy Astana have lost all four of their MHL games this season. The odds favor a home victory, though the conclusion stops holding if Snezhnye Barsy Astana match the 1:3 away win they achieved at Molot Perm in February.
Molot Perm's recent record shows two wins and three defeats across five matches, with 15 goals scored and 16 conceded. The most telling result came on 17 September when they beat Snezhnye Barsy Astana 4:1 at home. In the league table they occupy third place after three games, having won two and lost one. Their last outing before yesterday was a 5:3 victory away at Mamonty Yugry on 10 September, a 3.0 average from that outing.
Snezhnye Barsy Astana have not tasted victory in four MHL matches this season. They lost 1:4 to Molot Perm yesterday, 1:2 at home to Loko-76 on 14 September, and 2:3 and 1:4 to AKM-Junior on 10 and 9 September respectively. Across five matches their record is one win and four defeats, with 8 goals for and 15 against. They sit seventh in the standings, four points behind third place.
The head-to-head record over recent years shows Molot Perm with seven wins and Snezhnye Barsy Astana with five from twelve meetings. Molot Perm have scored 15 goals in their last five matches while conceding 16, whereas Snezhnye Barsy Astana have managed only 8 goals in five games.
Molot Perm hold a tactical edge in high-scoring affairs, contrasting with Snezhnye Barsy Astana's tendency to run the clock down. A draw would suit the visitors, and that is the main threat to this conclusion. If Snezhnye Barsy Astana produce a performance closer to their away win at Molot Perm in February, the outcome changes completely.