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Mountfield HK vs Sparta Prague: match prediction on 29 September 2026
Mountfield HK
Sparta Prague
Prediction for
Slight edge: Sparta Prague
42%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
37%
1
21%
X
42%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 28 Sep, 17:15- Монфилд ХК — 8. place, 0 points after 4 games (2 wins, 2 losses)
- Спарта Прага — 4. place, 0 points after 4 games (2 wins, 2 losses)
- Монфилд ХК, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
- Спарта Прага, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
- Head-to-head: 15 games, Монфилд ХК — 6, Спарта Прага — 9
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Mountfield HK
LLWLL
1 win · 4 losses
Sparta Prague
LWLWW
3 wins · 2 losses
Head to head 23
7Mountfield HK
0Draw
16Sparta Prague
- 1 MarMountfield HK — Sparta Prague6:3
- 20 JanSparta Prague — Mountfield HK1:2
- 21 Nov 2025Mountfield HK — Sparta Prague1:4
- 2 Mar 2025Mountfield HK — Sparta Prague4:1
- 5 Dec 2024Sparta Prague — Mountfield HK3:0
Bookmaker market
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 28 Sep, 17:15Mountfield HK take on Sparta Prague on 29 September with both sides carrying identical records of two wins and three defeats from their opening five matches.
Mountfield HK's last five games have produced two victories and three losses, with goals level at 12 for and 12 against. Their most recent outing saw them lose 1:2 away at Plzeň on 27 September, following a 5:2 home victory over Liberec Bílí Tygři on 24 September. Sparta Prague have matched that pattern exactly, also recording two wins and three defeats across five matches, scoring 14 and conceding 12. Their latest result was a 0:1 home defeat to Karlovy Vary on 28 September.
Over the past six meetings between these sides, Mountfield HK have won four times while Sparta Prague have secured two victories. The most recent clash on 1 March 2026 ended 6:3 to Mountfield HK at home, and two weeks earlier Sparta Prague lost 1:2 at home to Mountfield HK. However, when Sparta Prague have hosted, they have won twice, including a 3:0 victory on 5 December 2024.
Mountfield HK are expected to score 2.1 goals and Sparta Prague 2.2, with a 21% probability of a draw. Both teams to score sits at 79%, and there is an 81% chance of three or more goals in total. The most likely scorelines are 2:2 and 1:1, each at 7%, followed by 1:2 to Sparta Prague also at 7%.