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Nitra vs Rögle: match prediction on 13 October 2026

Champions Hockey League Nitra Aréna Nitra Miss Match page
Nitra Rögle

Prediction for

Win: Rögle

53%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

30% 1
17% X
53% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 12 Oct, 17:05

The prediction is that both teams will score. An 87% probability is assigned to this result, a figure driven by the attacking habits of both sides in recent fixtures. Nitra have netted 13 goals in their last five matches while conceding 18, and Rögle have traded 15 goals for 12. A shutout is unlikely for either side.

Nitra’s recent record shows two wins and three defeats. They opened the scoring in the 3:0 victory over Spisska Nova Ves on 11 October, but followed it with a 5:2 loss away to Dukla Trencin. The away trip to Fribourg-Gottéron ended 6:1 against them, and while they beat Zvolen HKM 2:1 at home, the 6:5 defeat to Michalovce Dukla highlights their defensive vulnerabilities.

Rögle have been slightly more consistent with three wins and two losses. They lost 3:2 away to Skellefteå AIK on 10 October but responded with a 4:3 home win against HV71. They secured a 3:2 victory over Davos in the Champions Hockey League on 6 October, then suffered a 3:2 loss away to Växjö Lakers before closing the run with a 4:1 win over Timrå.

The standings reflect this margin. Rögle sit in 9th place with three wins from five matches, while Nitra occupy 18th place with two wins. Rögle’s superior win tally places them ahead in the hierarchy.

The model projects Nitra to score 2.4 goals and Rögle to score 3.0. The most probable scorelines are 2:3 and 2:2, both at 6%, followed by 1:3 at 5%. The probability of three or more goals is 91%, and the draw probability stands at 18%.

Nitra demonstrated this capability in their 3:0 win against Spisska Nova Ves, shutting out their opponents completely. If either team replicates that defensive discipline, the 87% probability for both teams to score collapses.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 12 Oct, 17:05
  • Нитра — 16. place, 0 points after 4 games (2 wins, 2 losses)
  • Рёгле — 11. place, 0 points after 4 games (2 wins, 2 losses)
  • Нитра, last 5 games: 2 wins, 3 losses
  • Рёгле, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Nitra WLLWW 3 wins · 2 losses
Rögle WWLLW 3 wins · 2 losses

Bookmaker market

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+