Oman South Africa 107/2 14/2 Hong Kong England 0 0 Montreal Canadiens Winnipeg Jets 4 5 2′ New Jersey Devils Edmonton Oilers 4 3 Meghalaya Nagaland 144 …113/6 Assam Karnataka 135 577/6d Matches →

Orsk vs CSK VVS: match prediction on 26 September 2026

VHL DS Jubileyny Voronezh Miss Match page
Orsk CSK VVS

Prediction for

Slight edge: CSK VVS

43%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

36% 1
21% X
43% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 25 Sep, 09:11

CSK VVS are expected to win, as the model projects they will score more despite playing away, and their recent form shows they can convert chances when it matters. The expected goals figure for the visitors sits at 2.4 against Orsk's 2.2.

Both teams have taken identical points from their last five matches — three wins and two losses each, nine points apiece. Orsk have been more prolific in front of goal, netting 18 in that span while conceding 11, whereas CSK VVS managed 13 goals for and 12 against. The visitors' away loss to Kristall Saratov 2:3 was their only defeat on the road in the sample.

The head-to-head record favours Orsk with five victories across eight meetings, but the most recent encounter at this venue ended 4:1 to the hosts in an August friendly. Before that, Orsk lost 1:2 here in September 2025, and won 6:4 in September 2024.

The model projects 81 per cent chance both sides score and 83 per cent for three or more goals, with 2:2 the most probable scoreline at 7 per cent. CSK VVS edge 1:2 at 6 per cent, followed by 1:1 also at 6 per cent. The draw probability sits at 21 per cent.

The model's prediction changes if Orsk's home advantage proves decisive — if the hosts defend well, limiting the visitors to under two expected goals, it would flip the model's preference.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 25 Sep, 09:11
  • Орск — 12. place, 0 points after 6 games (3 wins, 3 losses)
  • ЦСК ВВС — 18. place, 0 points after 8 games (3 wins, 5 losses)
  • Орск, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
  • ЦСК ВВС, last 5 games: 3 wins, 2 losses
  • Head-to-head: 8 games, Орск — 5, ЦСК ВВС — 3

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

Orsk WLLDW 2 wins · 1 draw · 2 losses
CSK VVS LLLLL 5 losses

Head to head 13

8Orsk 0Draw 5CSK VVS
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

No bookmaker data

More predictions

All match predictions

Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+