Cup
Prediction for Spišská Nová Ves — Podbrezová
96%
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Rögle
Prediction for
Win: Pardubice Dynamo
85%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Form last 5 matches
Bookmaker market
No bookmaker data
Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 3 Sep, 23:09The model projects a 4.5-1.5 win for Pardubice.
Pardubice Dynamo have won three of their last five matches, scoring 18 goals while conceding 12. Their most recent outing was a 6-0 thrashing of Tychy at home in the Champions Hockey League. Rögle, by contrast, have won two and lost three in their last five games, with a goal difference of 11-18. Their latest result was a 4-0 defeat away to Plzeň in the same competition.
After one match each in the Champions Hockey League, Pardubice sit top of their group with 3 points from a 1-0-0 record. Rögle sit bottom of the group after a single defeat.
The statistical model expects Pardubice to score 4.5 goals and Rögle 1.5. The draw probability sits at just 8%, while BTTS probability sits at 76%. Over 3 goals is expected in 93% of simulated matches. The three most likely scorelines are all convincing victories for the home side: 4-1, 5-1, and 3-1, each at 6% probability.
There are no previous meetings on record between these two clubs in any competition. No prior meetings.
Pardubice's attack looks vulnerable if they push too high after the Tychy rout. Rögle could exploit the space.