Pardubice Dynamo vs Växjö Lakers: match prediction on 13 October 2026

Pardubice Dynamo win

Pardubice have won five straight, scoring 23 goals. Växjö have managed just 11 in the same period and lost three of their last five outings. The model expects 4.5 goals for Pardubice, 1.3 for Växjö, with 4:1 the likeliest result at 7%.

Pardubice have not dropped a point since the start of October. Five wins, zero draws, zero losses — they have taken 15 points from 15 available and are third in the Champions Hockey League table with four victories and one defeat. Their recent results read like a procession: 5:4 against Třinec at home, 3:2 away at Vítkovice, 5:2 in Bordeaux, 6:4 versus Sparta Prague, and 4:2 at Plzeň. Every match produced goals.

Växjö's trajectory runs in the opposite direction. They sit eighth in the CHL standings with three wins and two losses across five matches, but their last five fixtures tell a different story. Two victories and three defeats, scoring 11 goals and conceding 13. The most recent results were a 4:2 loss away at Örebro, a 3:0 defeat at home to Linköping, a 4:0 win against Servette, a 3:2 home victory over Rögle, and a 4:2 loss away at IF Björklöven. They have lost two of their last three games, conceding more than scoring in both defeats.

The probability of both teams scoring is 73%, and 93% of simulations produce three or more goals, but the distribution heavily favours the hosts.

Pardubice's attack underperforming their expected goals would shift the outcome. If the visitors manage to contain the early pressure and exploit transitions, or if the hosts underperform their expected goals by a wide margin, the outcome shifts. A draw would suit Växjö — they have shown they can win matches when they defend well, as against Servette — but given their recent form, that is the main threat to the prediction.