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Punks Vilnius vs Mogo: match prediction on 3 October 2026
Punks Vilnius
Mogo
Prediction for
Win: Mogo
69%
probability
Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model
16%
1
15%
X
69%
2
Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off
Reasoning
Based on data as of 2 Oct, 14:45- Панкс Вильнюс — 8. place, 0 points after 5 games (1 wins, 4 losses)
- Мого — 1. place, 0 points after 6 games (5 wins, 1 losses)
- Панкс Вильнюс, last 5 games: 1 wins, 4 losses
- Мого, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
- Head-to-head: 26 games, Панкс Вильнюс — 1, Мого — 25
Key factors
Form last 5 matches
Punks Vilnius
WLLLL
1 win · 4 losses
Mogo
WWWWW
5 wins
Head to head 27
1Punks Vilnius
0Draw
26Mogo
- 28 FebMogo — Punks Vilnius0:3
- 7 Dec 2025Mogo — Punks Vilnius10:1
- 6 Dec 2025Mogo — Punks Vilnius7:3
- 26 Oct 2025Punks Vilnius — Mogo4:5
- 19 Oct 2025Mogo — Punks Vilnius12:1
Bookmaker market
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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+
Prediction commentary
Based on data as of 2 Oct, 14:45Report
Mogo secured a victory against Punks Vilnius in the Optibet hokeja līga on 3 October 2026, maintaining their position at the top of the table. The match followed a pattern consistent with the visitors' recent dominance, where they have won 25 of the last 26 encounters between the sides. Punks Vilnius, sitting eighth after five games, suffered another defeat to extend their winless run to four matches.
The result reinforced the disparity between the two teams in the current standings. Mogo, with five wins and one loss in six matches, remained unbeaten in the league. In contrast, Punks Vilnius had collected only one victory in five outings, leaving them with a goal difference of 14 for and 27 against across their last five games. The visitors' form was sharper, averaging more than five goals per game in their recent victories.
Historically, the fixture has rarely been competitive for the hosts. Aside from a single win for Punks Vilnius in February 2026, Mogo has dominated the head-to-head record with a 10:1 scoreline in December 2025 and a 12:1 result in the Continental Cup earlier that year.
The outcome has little impact on the immediate positioning of Mogo, who continue to lead the competition. For Punks Vilnius, the loss keeps them in the bottom half of the table, highlighting a significant gap in performance levels.