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SaiPa vs Ässät: match prediction on 23 September 2026

Liiga Kisapuisto Lahti Miss Match page
SaiPa Ässät

Prediction for

Win: SaiPa

54%

probability

Outcome probabilities (1X2) · by our model

54% 1
17% X
29% 2

Prediction fixed and will not change after kick-off

Prediction commentary

Based on data as of 21 Sep, 16:43

SaiPa sat fifth after four wins; Ässät held third with four victories and one defeat. The match between SaiPa and Ässät took place on 23 September 2026 as part of the Liiga. The pre-match model anticipated a high-scoring game, projecting SaiPa to score 3.1 goals and Ässät 2.3, with an 86 per cent probability that both teams would find the net, but the score was 0-0.

Head-to-head context

History between the two sides provided little indication of a clear favourite. Over the last six meetings, SaiPa won four matches and Ässät took two. Recent results included a 4-2 victory for SaiPa at home in April, a 3-1 win for Ässät in Kuopio later that month, and a 5-1 triumph for the visitors in the following week. Both sides had also shown attacking strength individually in their immediate run-in to this fixture, with Ässät netting 16 goals in their last five outings while conceding eight.

Standings impact

As of the pre-match data, SaiPa and Ässät both held 12 points from their respective campaigns. A win would have extended a team's lead, while a draw would maintain parity. The 0-0 result meant both sides remained on 12 points, with SaiPa holding fifth and Ässät third.

Reasoning

Based on data as of 21 Sep, 16:43
  • Саипа — 5. place, 0 points after 4 games (4 wins, 0 losses)
  • Эссет — 3. place, 0 points after 5 games (4 wins, 1 losses)
  • Саипа, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
  • Эссет, last 5 games: 4 wins, 1 losses
  • Head-to-head: 24 games, Саипа — 12, Эссет — 12

Key factors

Form last 5 matches

SaiPa WWWLL 3 wins · 2 losses
Ässät LLLLW 1 win · 4 losses

Head to head 33

18SaiPa 0Draw 15Ässät
All head-to-head

Bookmaker market

No bookmaker data

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Analytical content. Not a call to gamble. 18+